Live EV & observed odds · Courtyard mystery packs
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it.
PullValue is a free expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs. It indexes every recorded pull and turns it into live EV ratios, observed odds, hit rates, and verdicts — but only on packs whose sample actually supports one. Where the data is thin we say so instead of guessing.
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RELIABLE SIGNALCAUTIONBasketball Diamond Pack
1.109x
cash-out EV ÷ pack price
- Cash-out EV
- $1,109.10
- Pack price
- $1,000.00
- Packs tracked
- 207
- Pulls indexed
- 172,965
- Top EV · ranked packs
- $5,442
- Last pull indexed
- 1h ago
01 / Rankings
Courtyard pack rankings by cash-out ratio

01Basketball Diamond Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 50

02Pokémon Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 30.2%
- Sample
- 33,382

03Football Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 117

04Wildcard Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 33.8%
- Sample
- 80

05Sports Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 37.4%
- Sample
- 123

06Basketball Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.6%
- Sample
- 2,088

07Football Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 29.5%
- Sample
- 244

08Sports Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 35.1%
- Sample
- 3,599

09Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $999
- Hit rate
- 34.8%
- Sample
- 322

10Basketball Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.0%
- Sample
- 109

11Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $499
- Hit rate
- 34.6%
- Sample
- 728

12Wildcard Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.2%
- Sample
- 3,054

13Soccer Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 33.6%
- Sample
- 1,063

14Pokémon Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 36.6%
- Sample
- 331

15Football Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 31.7%
- Sample
- 955

16Sports Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 22.5%
- Sample
- 333

17Pokémon Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 27.7%
- Sample
- 6,464

18Pokémon Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.7%
- Sample
- 10,941

19Pokémon Diamond Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 37.4%
- Sample
- 147

20One Piece Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.4%
- Sample
- 961

21Football Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.9%
- Sample
- 3,188

22Football Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 23.1%
- Sample
- 572

23Hockey Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 33.0%
- Sample
- 552

24Soccer Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.2%
- Sample
- 1,029

25Wildcard Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 30.9%
- Sample
- 414

26Comic Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 36.1%
- Sample
- 1,196

27Basketball Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.1%
- Sample
- 1,592

28One Piece Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.0%
- Sample
- 1,378

29Baseball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 32.6%
- Sample
- 513

30Pokémon Legend Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 24.2%
- Sample
- 62

31Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)
SKIP- Price
- $249
- Hit rate
- 36.7%
- Sample
- 2,155

32Baseball Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 24.4%
- Sample
- 992

33Sports Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 5,260

34Baseball Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 28.3%
- Sample
- 2,314

35Hockey Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.9%
- Sample
- 523

36Hockey Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 28.2%
- Sample
- 294

37Basketball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.1%
- Sample
- 892

38Football Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.1%
- Sample
- 2,109

39Wildcard Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 26.2%
- Sample
- 16,878

40One Piece Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.8%
- Sample
- 1,955

41One Piece Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 231

42Pokémon Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.8%
- Sample
- 5,673

43Pokémon Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 31.0%
- Sample
- 616

44Baseball Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 29.0%
- Sample
- 907

45Wildcard Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.4%
- Sample
- 733

46Soccer Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 31.3%
- Sample
- 690

47Sports Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.7%
- Sample
- 746

48$150 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $150
- Hit rate
- 35.7%
- Sample
- 347

49Baseball Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 36.6%
- Sample
- 71

50Basketball Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 23.9%
- Sample
- 381

51One Piece Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 29.4%
- Sample
- 102

52$100 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 25.4%
- Sample
- 453

53Hockey Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 26.4%
- Sample
- 91

54Basketball Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 26.5%
- Sample
- 302

55Pokémon Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 26.7%
- Sample
- 101

56One Piece Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 22.8%
- Sample
- 57

57$250 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 17.0%
- Sample
- 100

58Baseball Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 24.8%
- Sample
- 149

59One Piece PSA 10
SKIP- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 14.5%
- Sample
- 83

60Soccer Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 29.7%
- Sample
- 101

61Football Legend Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 45.5%
- Sample
- 11

62Baseball Legend Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 9

63Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $2,499
- Hit rate
- 34.8%
- Sample
- 92

64$1500 U.S. Coins Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,500
- Hit rate
- 13.3%
- Sample
- 15

65$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 36.2%
- Sample
- 58

66Hockey Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 36

67Baseball Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Sample
- 6

68Sports Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 34.7%
- Sample
- 49

69SLAM Pack
SKIP- Price
- $120
- Hit rate
- 24.2%
- Sample
- 66

70$500 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 18.9%
- Sample
- 37

71Wildcard Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 23.9%
- Sample
- 46

72Baseball Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 39.4%
- Sample
- 33

73Classic Watch Box
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 20.0%
- Sample
- 20

74Basketball Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 18

75Basketball Legend Pack
SKIP- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 12

76Comic Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 15.4%
- Sample
- 13

77The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 75.0%
- Sample
- 4

78Bronze Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $200
- Hit rate
- 36.8%
- Sample
- 76

79One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore
NO DATA- Price
- $149
- Hit rate
- 34.3%
- Sample
- 35

80Silver Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 10

81Sports PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- $179
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 37

82Modern Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 37.5%
- Sample
- 80

83Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1

84Pokémon Heat Week: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3

85The Final Whistle: Spain
NO DATA- Price
- $79
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3

86Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

87Sports Cosmic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 16

88Pokémon Cosmic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 10

89Premier Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 10

90Pokémon VIP Cosmic
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 7

91Sports Mythic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 12

92Comic Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 7

93One Piece Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 40

94Sports Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

95Wildcard Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

96Pokémon VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 230

97Sports VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 116

98Sports 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 6

99Sports 2: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

100Football Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 32

101Wildcard Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 65

102Wildcard 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

103Wildcard Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

104Pokémon 1: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

105Wildcard Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 24

106Sports Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 26

107Sports Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 27

108Sports Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 15

109Sports Ghost Gold+
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 13

110Wildcard Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4

111Pokémon 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 10

112Sports Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 32

113Baseball Inferno Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 36

114Pokémon Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 22

115Baseball Reaper Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

116Pokémon 2: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

117Sports Just the Hits!
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 17

118$500 Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 186

119Baseball Ghost Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 32

120Gengar's Game: Gold Edition
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 411

121Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 64

122Comic Platinum Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 40

123The World Stage VIP Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

124Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 11-11.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 14

125Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 11-11.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 47

126Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 12-13)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 56

127Summer Pull Party (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

128Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 12-13)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

129Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 8-8.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 43

130Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 9-9.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

131Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 8-8.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

132Comic Ultra Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 171

133Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 10-10.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 70

134Pikachu Van Gogh Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 183

135Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 10-10.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

136Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 9-9.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 72

137Gengar's Game Night 4
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 228

138Sports City Series
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 101

139Bussin’ With The Boys National Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 56

140Sports Vintage: All-Time Heat
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 146

141Sports GOAT
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 141

142Spider-Man Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

143Sports Vintage: Hall Pass
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 55

144Football: Round 3 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 50

145American League (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 114

146Football: Round 2 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

147National League (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 117

148American League Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

149Boys of Summer
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

150Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 19

15130th Anniversary: Silver
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 239

152The Amazing Chase Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 345

153The Amazing Chase Gold+
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

154US Grand Prix
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 66

15530th Anniversary: Yellow
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 81

156Hockey PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

157The Eras Collection: Origins
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

158$150 Coin Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

159Basketball Opening Week ($30k Jordan 1 Bounty)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 565

160The Eras Collection: Ascension
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

161Gengar's Game Night 3
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 661

162Gengar's Game: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,427

163Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 285

164Comic Master Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 509

165Football: Round 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 27

16630th Anniversary: Emerald
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 203

167Baseball October Royalty
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 139

168Football PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 718

169Baseball October Royalty (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 187

170Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

171Pokemon: The Amazing Chase Day 5
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 86

172Monday Night Matchup (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 61

173Gengar's Game Night 2
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,143

174Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 62

175Baseball PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 123

176National League Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

177Chase the Chu
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,148

17830th Anniversary: Gold
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 400

179One Piece: Grand Voyage - Grand Line
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 24

18030th Anniversary: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,858

181Monday Night Matchup
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 513

182football-mnf-commanders-49ers
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4

183Pokémon Water & Grass
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

184Basketball Opening Week
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 378

185The Eras Collection: Generation
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

186Pokémon EX Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

187Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 96

188Pokémon PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,411

189The Final Whistle: Argentina
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

19030th Anniversary - Day 3: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 16

191The Eras Collection: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

192One Piece: Grand Voyage - East Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 53

19330th Anniversary: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 978

194Basketball Cup Tournament
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 650

195Sports Vintage: Throwback
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 349

196Monday Night Game
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 198

197Fire & Electric
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2,337

19830th Anniversary: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 842

199One Piece: Grand Voyage - New World
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 44

200Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 2
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 153

201Gengar's Game Night 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3,358

20230th Anniversary - Day 2: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 990

203Sealed Pokémon Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9,010

204Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 324

20530th Anniversary: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,820

20630th Anniversary - Day 1: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,901

207Sealed Magic: The Gathering Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2,965
Full comparison table
Every pack, every number, side by side.
| # | Pack | Price | Calibrated EV | Cash-out ratio | Hit rate | 7d trend | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable signals(60)30+ indexed pulls, fresh data, and a data-quality score of 70 or better. | |||||||
| 01 | Basketball Diamond PackBasketballCurrent48% | $1,000 | $1,310.99 | 1.109x | 40.0% | CAUTION | |
| 02 | Pokémon Starter PackPokémonCurrent85% | $25 | $27.05 | 0.971x | 30.2% | CAUTION | |
| 03 | Football Platinum PackFootballCurrent82% | $500 | $556.06 | 0.970x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 04 | Wildcard Ultra PackBasketballCurrent58% | $250 | $279.60 | 0.950x | 33.8% | CAUTION | |
| 05 | Sports Ultra PackFootballCurrent59% | $250 | $277.78 | 0.941x | 37.4% | CAUTION | |
| 06 | Basketball Starter PackBasketballCurrent57% | $25 | $26.05 | 0.936x | 29.6% | CAUTION | |
| 07 | Football Ultra PackFootballCurrent82% | $250 | $275.81 | 0.934x | 29.5% | CAUTION | |
| 08 | Sports Starter PackFootballCurrent54% | $25 | $26.63 | 0.932x | 35.1% | CAUTION | |
| 09 | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)PokémonModern30% | $999 | $1,091.43 | 0.926x | 34.8% | CAUTION | |
| 10 | Basketball Platinum PackBasketballCurrent61% | $500 | $533.38 | 0.926x | 33.0% | CAUTION | |
| 11 | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)PokémonCurrent41% | $499 | $538.14 | 0.925x | 34.6% | CAUTION | |
| 12 | Wildcard Starter PackBaseballCurrent64% | $25 | $26.56 | 0.921x | 29.2% | CAUTION | |
| 13 | Soccer Starter PackSoccerCurrent67% | $25 | $25.31 | 0.917x | 33.6% | CAUTION | |
| 14 | Pokémon Platinum PackPokémonCurrent34% | $500 | $522.55 | 0.914x | 36.6% | SKIP | |
| 15 | Football Master PackFootballCurrent81% | $100 | $106.80 | 0.910x | 31.7% | CAUTION | |
| 16 | Sports Master PackFootballCurrent62% | $100 | $106.15 | 0.910x | 22.5% | CAUTION | |
| 17 | Pokémon Basic PackPokémonCurrent84% | $15 | $15.80 | 0.908x | 27.7% | CAUTION | |
| 18 | Pokémon Pro PackPokémonCurrent73% | $50 | $53.08 | 0.908x | 30.7% | CAUTION | |
| 19 | Pokémon Diamond PackPokémonCurrent31% | $1,000 | $1,072.17 | 0.907x | 37.4% | CAUTION | |
| 20 | One Piece Master PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $100 | $105.64 | 0.903x | 29.4% | CAUTION | |
| 21 | Football Starter PackFootballCurrent65% | $25 | $24.84 | 0.896x | 29.9% | SKIP | |
| 22 | Football Basic PackFootballCurrent68% | $15 | $15.38 | 0.893x | 23.1% | CAUTION | |
| 23 | Hockey Starter PackHockeyCurrent45% | $25 | $24.72 | 0.888x | 33.0% | CAUTION | |
| 24 | Soccer Pro PackSoccerCurrent79% | $50 | $51.36 | 0.884x | 31.2% | CAUTION | |
| 25 | Wildcard Master PackMagic The GatheringCurrent65% | $100 | $103.78 | 0.884x | 30.9% | SKIP | |
| 26 | Comic Pro PackMarvel Comic | $50 | $51.83 | 0.883x | 36.1% | CAUTION | |
| 27 | Basketball Pro PackBasketballCurrent64% | $50 | $51.20 | 0.882x | 31.1% | CAUTION | |
| 28 | One Piece Starter PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $25 | $24.94 | 0.882x | 29.0% | SKIP | |
| 29 | Baseball Master PackBaseballVintage58% | $100 | $103.24 | 0.882x | 32.6% | CAUTION | |
| 30 | Pokémon Legend PackPokémonRetro35% | $2,500 | $2,599.49 | 0.880x | 24.2% | CAUTION | |
| 31 | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)PokémonCurrent46% | $249 | $258.35 | 0.878x | 36.7% | SKIP | |
| 32 | Baseball Basic PackBaseballCurrent57% | $15 | $15.36 | 0.878x | 24.4% | SKIP | |
| 33 | Sports Basic PackBaseballCurrent51% | $15 | $15.16 | 0.875x | 25.0% | CAUTION | |
| 34 | Baseball Starter PackBaseballCurrent57% | $25 | $25.44 | 0.873x | 28.3% | CAUTION | |
| 35 | Hockey Pro PackHockeyCurrent44% | $50 | $50.51 | 0.864x | 32.9% | SKIP | |
| 36 | Hockey Master PackHockeyCurrent55% | $100 | $101.21 | 0.862x | 28.2% | SKIP | |
| 37 | Basketball Master PackBasketballCurrent67% | $100 | $100.16 | 0.856x | 29.1% | CAUTION | |
| 38 | Football Pro PackFootballCurrent67% | $50 | $49.87 | 0.856x | 30.1% | SKIP | |
| 39 | Wildcard Basic PackBaseballCurrent78% | $15 | $14.96 | 0.853x | 26.2% | SKIP | |
| 40 | One Piece Pro PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $50 | $49.80 | 0.853x | 30.8% | SKIP | |
| 41 | One Piece Ultra PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $250 | $251.64 | 0.852x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 42 | Pokémon Master PackPokémonCurrent64% | $100 | $99.72 | 0.851x | 29.8% | SKIP | |
| 43 | Pokémon Ultra PackPokémonCurrent50% | $250 | $251.15 | 0.850x | 31.0% | SKIP | |
| 44 | Baseball Pro PackBaseballCurrent50% | $50 | $49.30 | 0.848x | 29.0% | SKIP | |
| 45 | Wildcard Pro PackBaseballCurrent74% | $50 | $49.60 | 0.845x | 30.4% | CAUTION | |
| 46 | Soccer Master PackSoccerCurrent76% | $100 | $98.84 | 0.841x | 31.3% | SKIP | |
| 47 | Sports Pro PackBaseballCurrent50% | $50 | $48.92 | 0.838x | 32.7% | SKIP | |
| 48 | $150 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage100% | $150 | $148.44 | 0.837x | 35.7% | SKIP | |
| 49 | Baseball Platinum PackBaseballCurrent53% | $500 | $485.15 | 0.831x | 36.6% | SKIP | |
| 50 | Basketball Basic PackBasketballCurrent46% | $15 | $14.39 | 0.830x | 23.9% | SKIP | |
| 51 | One Piece Platinum PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $500 | $473.24 | 0.826x | 29.4% | SKIP | |
| 52 | $100 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $100 | $96.72 | 0.825x | 25.4% | SKIP | |
| 53 | Hockey Ultra PackHockeyCurrent64% | $250 | $241.26 | 0.816x | 26.4% | SKIP | |
| 54 | Basketball Ultra PackBasketballCurrent43% | $250 | $238.62 | 0.809x | 26.5% | SKIP | |
| 55 | Pokémon Mythic PackPokémonModern40% | $5,000 | $4,708.28 | 0.803x | 26.7% | SKIP | |
| 56 | One Piece Diamond PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $1,000 | $924.74 | 0.782x | 22.8% | SKIP | |
| 57 | $250 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $250 | $229.32 | 0.776x | 17.0% | SKIP | |
| 58 | Baseball Ultra PackBaseballVintage59% | $250 | $227.90 | 0.771x | 24.8% | SKIP | |
| 59 | One Piece PSA 10One PieceCurrent100% | $69 | $59.87 | 0.735x | 14.5% | SKIP | |
| 60 | Soccer Platinum PackSoccerCurrent73% | $500 | $424.99 | 0.723x | 29.7% | SKIP | |
| Emerging signals(16)Early reads only — these never carry a buy call. A pack lands here with 5-29 indexed pulls, or with more than that when its effective sample, freshness or data-quality score falls short of the reliable bar. | |||||||
| 61 | Football Legend PackFootballCurrent57% | $2,500 | $3,309.53 | 1.120x | 45.5% | CAUTION | |
| 62 | Baseball Legend PackBaseballVintage50% | $2,500 | $3,178.75 | 1.076x | 22.2% | CAUTION | |
| 63 | Pokémon Legend (Spicy)PokémonModern42% | $2,499 | $2,963.79 | 1.012x | 34.8% | CAUTION | |
| 64 | $1500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage92% | $1,500 | $1,768.87 | 0.998x | 13.3% | CAUTION | |
| 65 | $500 Shipwreck Coins PackShipwreck | $500 | $577.20 | 0.985x | 36.2% | CAUTION | |
| 66 | Hockey Platinum PackHockeyCurrent63% | $500 | $542.86 | 0.919x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 67 | Baseball Mythic PackBaseballVintage100% | $5,000 | $5,353.94 | 0.906x | 50.0% | SKIP | |
| 68 | Sports Platinum PackFootballCurrent48% | $500 | $499.39 | 0.874x | 34.7% | SKIP | |
| 69 | SLAM PackSLAM Magazine | $120 | $119.87 | 0.845x | 24.2% | SKIP | |
| 70 | $500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage96% | $500 | $488.84 | 0.827x | 18.9% | SKIP | |
| 71 | Wildcard Platinum PackShipwreckCurrent35% | $500 | $456.07 | 0.821x | 23.9% | SKIP | |
| 72 | Baseball Diamond PackBaseballCurrent48% | $1,000 | $956.60 | 0.809x | 39.4% | SKIP | |
| 73 | Classic Watch BoxWatches | $5,000 | $4,775.16 | 0.808x | 20.0% | SKIP | |
| 74 | Basketball Mythic PackBasketballCurrent61% | $5,000 | $4,239.67 | 0.717x | 22.2% | SKIP | |
| 75 | Basketball Legend PackBasketballCurrent82% | $2,500 | $1,965.28 | 0.665x | 16.7% | SKIP | |
| 76 | Comic Diamond PackIndependent Comic | $1,000 | $763.11 | 0.646x | 15.4% | SKIP | |
131 packs are not ranked here — no price on record, too few indexed pulls, or data too stale to judge. They stay off the ranking rather than padding it out. How packs qualify
02 / Big hits
Today's biggest hits
03 / The toolkit
Everything you need to buy with an edge
Calibrated EV & ratios
Decay-weighted expected value that tracks what packs have been returning lately — ranked by cash-out ratio, so 1.0 really is the break-even line.
Rip Advisor verdicts
BUY, CAUTION, or SKIP on every pack, scored 0–100 from cash-out ROI, median pulls, trend, and sample size. The formula is public.
Observed odds
Odds reconstructed from thousands of real pulls — including 48-hour tier shifts that show when the good cards have stopped coming out.
Floor safety & dilution
How much of a pack’s EV rides on the top 2% of pulls — so you know a lottery when you see one.
Buyback reality
The observed instant-offer ratio versus the platform’s measured 84.6% of FMV. Every verdict already uses the real cash-out number.
+EV alerts
The moment any pack crosses above 1.0, it posts to Discord. Buy when the math is in your favor, not when you feel lucky.
04 / Pro
The numbers are free. The speed is Pro.
Core methodology, limited rankings and educational tools stay free. Pro delivers the edge to you — instant +EV and big-hit alerts in your Discord, full history, and CSV export.
05 / FAQ
Common questions
- Which Courtyard pack is the best value right now?
- Basketball Diamond Pack currently has the highest cash-out EV ratio at 1.109x, from 50 indexed pulls at 74/100 data quality. Only packs that clear our reliability threshold are eligible for this answer, out of 207 tracked. Rankings refresh as new pulls are indexed.
- What is a mystery pack EV tracker?
- A tool that computes the expected value (EV) of mystery packs from real recorded pulls. PullValue indexes every Courtyard pull and publishes each pack’s live EV, EV ratio, observed odds, and hit rate so buyers can check the math before ripping.
- What does a cash-out ratio above 1.0 mean?
- The pack returns more than it costs on average, after Courtyard’s buyback haircut. The plain EV ratio divides by price at sticker FMV, where 1.0 is still a loss the size of the haircut — so the cash-out ratio is the one that breaks even at 1.0, and the one PullValue ranks by.
- Are PullValue’s odds the same as Courtyard’s posted odds?
- No — they are observed odds, reconstructed from thousands of real pulls. They reflect what actually came out of the pack, including how the pool changes as chase cards get pulled.
- How does PullValue calculate a pack’s EV?
- Every indexed pull’s fair market value (FMV) is averaged with decay weighting — recent pulls count more — so the calibrated EV tracks what the pack has been returning lately rather than its lifetime average. It measures observed pulls, not remaining inventory, which Courtyard does not publish. The full formula is documented on the methodology page.
- Is PullValue free?
- The free tier shows the top 3 packs in full — live EV, odds, verdicts — plus the pull feed and every guide. Pro unlocks the complete rankings for every tracked pack, instant +EV alerts, and exports.
06 / The method
How mystery pack EV works
Expected value
EV is the average fair-market value of everything pulled from a pack, computed across every pull we have indexed for it using Courtyard's own FMV estimates. An EV above the pack price means the average rip returns more than it costs.
Hit rate
The share of pulls worth at least the pack price. Two packs can share an EV while feeling completely different: a high hit rate pays out steadily, a low one is carried by rare chase cards.
Sample size
EV on a dozen pulls is noise; on thousands it is signal. We show the sample next to every number so you can judge how much to trust it — and the history chart shows how EV drifts as chase cards leave the pool.
Go deeper on pack math
The concepts behind every ranking on this page, explained with the same live data.










