Live EV & observed odds · Courtyard mystery packs
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it.
PullValue is a free expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs. It indexes every recorded pull and turns it into live EV ratios, observed odds, hit rates, and verdicts — but only on packs whose sample actually supports one. Where the data is thin we say so instead of guessing.
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RELIABLE SIGNALCAUTIONBronze Age Pack
1.034x
cash-out EV ÷ pack price
- Cash-out EV
- $206.85
- Pack price
- $200.00
- Packs tracked
- 149
- Pulls indexed
- 37,436
- Top EV · ranked packs
- $5,770
- Last pull indexed
- 12h ago
01 / Rankings
Courtyard pack rankings by cash-out ratio

01Bronze Age Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $200
- Hit rate
- 37.1%
- Sample
- 62

02Pokémon Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 41.9%
- Sample
- 62

03Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $249
- Hit rate
- 37.6%
- Sample
- 518

04Hockey Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 102

05Basketball Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 26.1%
- Sample
- 306

06Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)
SKIP- Price
- $999
- Hit rate
- 30.0%
- Sample
- 50

07Sports Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 185

08Football Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 31.0%
- Sample
- 197

09Sports Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 32.1%
- Sample
- 1,367

10One Piece Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.6%
- Sample
- 408

11Football Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 18.2%
- Sample
- 77

12Basketball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 26.3%
- Sample
- 186

13Football Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.4%
- Sample
- 458

14Baseball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 27.1%
- Sample
- 118

15Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $499
- Hit rate
- 33.6%
- Sample
- 113

16Football Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 19.4%
- Sample
- 62

17Comic Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.0%
- Sample
- 194

18Soccer Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 27.9%
- Sample
- 215

19Baseball Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 27.1%
- Sample
- 181

20Pokémon Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 28.1%
- Sample
- 1,161

21One Piece Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 36.4%
- Sample
- 55

22Pokémon Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 25.6%
- Sample
- 6,279

23Soccer Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 24.6%
- Sample
- 224

24Baseball Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 25.9%
- Sample
- 54

25Baseball Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 25.3%
- Sample
- 400

26Wildcard Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 23.1%
- Sample
- 78

27Basketball Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 23.3%
- Sample
- 377

28Sports Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 18.3%
- Sample
- 845

29Pokémon Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 27.7%
- Sample
- 2,137

30$100 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 21.4%
- Sample
- 70

31One Piece Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 203

32Football Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 27.4%
- Sample
- 574

33Wildcard Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 19.4%
- Sample
- 2,212

34Pokémon Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 26.9%
- Sample
- 160

35One Piece Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 21.6%
- Sample
- 185

36Wildcard Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 23.8%
- Sample
- 604

37Baseball Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 14.4%
- Sample
- 139

38Modern Age Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 38.9%
- Sample
- 54

39Basketball Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 14.9%
- Sample
- 74

40Wildcard Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 19.4%
- Sample
- 134

41Sports Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 21.4%
- Sample
- 103

42Hockey Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 24.5%
- Sample
- 49

43Hockey Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 27.0%
- Sample
- 74

44Soccer Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 24.8%
- Sample
- 141

45$150 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $150
- Hit rate
- 33.8%
- Sample
- 77

46$250 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 12.9%
- Sample
- 31

47Basketball Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 90

48Pokémon Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 15.9%
- Sample
- 609

49Wildcard Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 29.4%
- Sample
- 17

50Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $2,499
- Hit rate
- 35.3%
- Sample
- 17

51Hockey Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 9

52Sports Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 20.0%
- Sample
- 10

53Baseball Diamond Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 10

54One Piece PSA 10
CAUTION- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 8

55Basketball Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 36.4%
- Sample
- 22

56Baseball Mythic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 5

57$500 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 8

58Hockey Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 12

59One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore
SKIP- Price
- $149
- Hit rate
- 34.3%
- Sample
- 35

60One Piece Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 30.8%
- Sample
- 13

61Sports Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 37.1%
- Sample
- 35

62Silver Age Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 28.6%
- Sample
- 7

63Football Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 20

64Pokémon Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 16

65Basketball Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 11.1%
- Sample
- 9

66Soccer Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 31.8%
- Sample
- 22

67Pokémon Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 15.4%
- Sample
- 26

68SLAM Pack
SKIP- Price
- $120
- Hit rate
- 12.5%
- Sample
- 16

69Baseball Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 23.5%
- Sample
- 17

70Basketball Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 9

71$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 12.5%
- Sample
- 8

72$1500 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,500
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 6

73Wildcard Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 12

74Pokémon Legend Pack
SKIP- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 6

75The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 75.0%
- Sample
- 4

76Basketball Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 4

77Sports PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- $179
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 37

78Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1

79Pokémon Heat Week: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3

80Baseball Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3

81The Final Whistle: Spain
NO DATA- Price
- $79
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3

82One Piece Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3

83Football Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3

84Comic Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 4

85Classic Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 4

86Pokémon VIP Cosmic
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

87Premier Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

88Sports Cosmic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

89Sports Mythic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

90Sports Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

91Wildcard Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

92Pokémon VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 31

93Sports VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 41

94Football Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 13

95Wildcard Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 65

96Wildcard 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

97Wildcard Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

98Sports Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

99Pokémon 1: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

100Wildcard Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4

101Pokémon 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 10

102Pokémon 2: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

103Sports Just the Hits!
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 17

104Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

105The World Stage VIP Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

106Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 11-11.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 13

107Summer Pull Party (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

108Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 12-13)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 23

109Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 8-8.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 8

110Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 9-9.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 20

111Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 10-10.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 23

112Sports City Series
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 101

113Bussin’ With The Boys National Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 56

114Spider-Man Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

115Football: Round 3 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 50

116Football: Round 2 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

117Boys of Summer
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

118Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 19

119The Amazing Chase Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 345

120The Amazing Chase Gold+
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

121The Eras Collection: Origins
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

122$150 Coin Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

123The Eras Collection: Ascension
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

124Football: Round 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 27

125Football PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 718

126Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

127Pokemon: The Amazing Chase Day 5
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 86

128Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 62

129One Piece: Grand Voyage - Grand Line
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 24

13030th Anniversary: Gold
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 273

131Pokémon Water & Grass
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

132The Eras Collection: Generation
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

133Pokémon EX Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

134Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 96

135The Final Whistle: Argentina
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

13630th Anniversary - Day 3: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 16

137The Eras Collection: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

138One Piece: Grand Voyage - East Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 53

13930th Anniversary: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 743

140Monday Night Game
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 169

14130th Anniversary: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 394

142One Piece: Grand Voyage - New World
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 44

143Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 2
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 153

14430th Anniversary - Day 2: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 990

145Sealed Pokémon Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,716

146Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 324

14730th Anniversary: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,974

14830th Anniversary - Day 1: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,901

149Sealed Magic: The Gathering Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,048
Full comparison table
Every pack, every number, side by side.
| # | Pack | Price | Calibrated EV | Cash-out ratio | Hit rate | 7d trend | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable signals(48)30+ indexed pulls, fresh data, and a data-quality score of 70 or better. | |||||||
| 01 | Bronze Age PackMarvel Comic | $200 | $244.50 | 1.034x | 37.1% | CAUTION | |
| 02 | Pokémon Platinum PackPokémonCurrent37% | $500 | $587.48 | 1.017x | 41.9% | CAUTION | |
| 03 | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)PokémonCurrent42% | $249 | $277.54 | 0.945x | 37.6% | CAUTION | |
| 04 | Hockey Starter PackHockeyCurrent59% | $25 | $27.14 | 0.935x | 32.4% | CAUTION | |
| 05 | Basketball Pro PackBasketballCurrent67% | $50 | $52.02 | 0.919x | 26.1% | CAUTION | |
| 06 | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)PokémonRetro48% | $999 | $1,081.44 | 0.916x | 30.0% | SKIP | |
| 07 | Sports Pro PackBaseballCurrent50% | $50 | $52.74 | 0.915x | 32.4% | CAUTION | |
| 08 | Football Master PackFootballCurrent68% | $100 | $107.44 | 0.914x | 31.0% | CAUTION | |
| 09 | Sports Starter PackBaseballCurrent58% | $25 | $25.30 | 0.911x | 32.1% | CAUTION | |
| 10 | One Piece Pro PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $50 | $52.76 | 0.910x | 32.6% | SKIP | |
| 11 | Football Basic PackFootballCurrent73% | $15 | $15.79 | 0.908x | 18.2% | CAUTION | |
| 12 | Basketball Master PackBasketballCurrent68% | $100 | $104.94 | 0.894x | 26.3% | CAUTION | |
| 13 | Football Pro PackFootballCurrent62% | $50 | $51.37 | 0.893x | 31.4% | SKIP | |
| 14 | Baseball Master PackBaseballVintage59% | $100 | $104.84 | 0.892x | 27.1% | CAUTION | |
| 15 | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)PokémonCurrent32% | $499 | $519.81 | 0.891x | 33.6% | CAUTION | |
| 16 | Football Ultra PackFootballCurrent71% | $250 | $260.18 | 0.880x | 19.4% | CAUTION | |
| 17 | Comic Pro PackD.C. Comic | $50 | $51.88 | 0.880x | 32.0% | SKIP | |
| 18 | Soccer Pro PackSoccerCurrent84% | $50 | $50.22 | 0.879x | 27.9% | CAUTION | |
| 19 | Baseball Pro PackBaseballVintage49% | $50 | $50.84 | 0.876x | 27.1% | CAUTION | |
| 20 | Pokémon Master PackPokémonCurrent58% | $100 | $102.52 | 0.875x | 28.1% | CAUTION | |
| 21 | One Piece Ultra PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $250 | $258.56 | 0.875x | 36.4% | CAUTION | |
| 22 | Pokémon Starter PackPokémonCurrent81% | $25 | $24.74 | 0.875x | 25.6% | SKIP | |
| 23 | Soccer Starter PackSoccerCurrent69% | $25 | $24.18 | 0.872x | 24.6% | CAUTION | |
| 24 | Baseball Ultra PackBaseballVintage74% | $250 | $255.42 | 0.864x | 25.9% | CAUTION | |
| 25 | Baseball Starter PackBaseballCurrent49% | $25 | $24.24 | 0.855x | 25.3% | SKIP | |
| 26 | Wildcard Master PackSoccerCurrent69% | $100 | $100.92 | 0.854x | 23.1% | CAUTION | |
| 27 | Basketball Starter PackBasketballCurrent62% | $25 | $24.27 | 0.853x | 23.3% | SKIP | |
| 28 | Sports Basic PackBaseballCurrent58% | $15 | $14.72 | 0.849x | 18.3% | SKIP | |
| 29 | Pokémon Pro PackPokémonCurrent65% | $50 | $49.68 | 0.848x | 27.7% | SKIP | |
| 30 | $100 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $100 | $99.32 | 0.848x | 21.4% | SKIP | |
| 31 | One Piece Starter PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $25 | $24.24 | 0.847x | 22.2% | SKIP | |
| 32 | Football Starter PackFootballCurrent69% | $25 | $24.23 | 0.846x | 27.4% | SKIP | |
| 33 | Wildcard Basic PackSoccerCurrent79% | $15 | $14.48 | 0.844x | 19.4% | SKIP | |
| 34 | Pokémon Ultra PackPokémonCurrent49% | $250 | $248.41 | 0.841x | 26.9% | SKIP | |
| 35 | One Piece Master PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $100 | $98.63 | 0.838x | 21.6% | SKIP | |
| 36 | Wildcard Starter PackBaseballCurrent69% | $25 | $23.76 | 0.835x | 23.8% | SKIP | |
| 37 | Baseball Basic PackBaseballCurrent60% | $15 | $14.61 | 0.831x | 14.4% | SKIP | |
| 38 | Modern Age PackD.C. Comic | $100 | $97.53 | 0.825x | 38.9% | SKIP | |
| 39 | Basketball Basic PackBasketballCurrent46% | $15 | $14.48 | 0.820x | 14.9% | SKIP | |
| 40 | Wildcard Pro PackSoccerCurrent83% | $50 | $47.43 | 0.812x | 19.4% | SKIP | |
| 41 | Sports Master PackBasketballCurrent50% | $100 | $93.27 | 0.803x | 21.4% | SKIP | |
| 42 | Hockey Master PackHockeyCurrent49% | $100 | $93.56 | 0.800x | 24.5% | SKIP | |
| 43 | Hockey Pro PackHockeyVintage49% | $50 | $47.11 | 0.800x | 27.0% | SKIP | |
| 44 | Soccer Master PackSoccerCurrent80% | $100 | $92.25 | 0.784x | 24.8% | SKIP | |
| 45 | $150 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage100% | $150 | $138.51 | 0.781x | 33.8% | SKIP | |
| 46 | $250 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $250 | $227.14 | 0.769x | 12.9% | SKIP | |
| 47 | Basketball Ultra PackBasketballVintage38% | $250 | $218.22 | 0.741x | 16.7% | SKIP | |
| 48 | Pokémon Basic PackPokémonCurrent79% | $15 | $10.12 | 0.603x | 15.9% | SKIP | |
| Emerging signals(26)Early reads only — these never carry a buy call. A pack lands here with 5-29 indexed pulls, or with more than that when its effective sample, freshness or data-quality score falls short of the reliable bar. | |||||||
| 49 | Wildcard Ultra PackPokémonCurrent35% | $250 | $313.19 | 1.060x | 29.4% | CAUTION | |
| 50 | Pokémon Legend (Spicy)PokémonModern35% | $2,499 | $3,097.31 | 1.058x | 35.3% | CAUTION | |
| 51 | Hockey Platinum PackHockeyCurrent67% | $500 | $619.16 | 1.048x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 52 | Sports Platinum PackBasketballCurrent50% | $500 | $591.37 | 1.035x | 20.0% | CAUTION | |
| 53 | Baseball Diamond PackBaseballCurrent40% | $1,000 | $1,198.54 | 1.014x | 40.0% | CAUTION | |
| 54 | One Piece PSA 10One PieceCurrent100% | $69 | $77.77 | 0.954x | 25.0% | CAUTION | |
| 55 | Basketball Platinum PackBasketballCurrent59% | $500 | $538.90 | 0.941x | 36.4% | CAUTION | |
| 56 | Baseball Mythic PackBaseballModern40% | $5,000 | $5,460.18 | 0.924x | 40.0% | CAUTION | |
| 57 | $500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage100% | $500 | $535.86 | 0.907x | 25.0% | SKIP | |
| 58 | Hockey Ultra PackHockeyCurrent42% | $250 | $266.49 | 0.902x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 59 | One Piece: Grand Voyage EncoreOne PieceCurrent100% | $149 | $158.50 | 0.900x | 34.3% | SKIP | |
| 60 | One Piece Platinum PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $500 | $529.72 | 0.896x | 30.8% | CAUTION | |
| 61 | Sports Ultra PackBaseballVintage46% | $250 | $261.03 | 0.883x | 37.1% | SKIP | |
| 62 | Silver Age PackD.C. Comic | $500 | $516.97 | 0.875x | 28.6% | CAUTION | |
| 63 | Football Platinum PackFootballCurrent95% | $500 | $494.19 | 0.869x | 40.0% | SKIP | |
| 64 | Pokémon Mythic PackPokémonModern44% | $5,000 | $4,755.51 | 0.844x | 25.0% | SKIP | |
| 65 | Basketball Diamond PackBasketballCurrent67% | $1,000 | $954.91 | 0.808x | 11.1% | SKIP | |
| 66 | Soccer Platinum PackSoccerCurrent59% | $500 | $471.60 | 0.805x | 31.8% | SKIP | |
| 67 | Pokémon Diamond PackPokémonModern50% | $1,000 | $927.68 | 0.785x | 15.4% | SKIP | |
| 68 | SLAM PackSLAM Magazine | $120 | $108.62 | 0.766x | 12.5% | SKIP | |
| 69 | Baseball Platinum PackBaseballCurrent65% | $500 | $443.78 | 0.751x | 23.5% | SKIP | |
| 70 | Basketball Mythic PackBasketballRetro33% | $5,000 | $4,404.09 | 0.745x | 22.2% | SKIP | |
| 71 | $500 Shipwreck Coins PackShipwreck | $500 | $430.08 | 0.728x | 12.5% | SKIP | |
| 72 | $1500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage83% | $1,500 | $1,284.01 | 0.724x | 0.0% | SKIP | |
| 73 | Wildcard Platinum PackFootballCurrent67% | $500 | $413.00 | 0.722x | 16.7% | SKIP | |
| 74 | Pokémon Legend PackPokémonCurrent50% | $2,500 | $1,939.46 | 0.656x | 16.7% | SKIP | |
75 packs are not ranked here — no price on record, too few indexed pulls, or data too stale to judge. They stay off the ranking rather than padding it out. How packs qualify
02 / Big hits
Today's biggest hits
03 / The toolkit
Everything you need to buy with an edge
Calibrated EV & ratios
Decay-weighted expected value that tracks what packs have been returning lately — ranked by cash-out ratio, so 1.0 really is the break-even line.
Rip Advisor verdicts
BUY, CAUTION, or SKIP on every pack, scored 0–100 from cash-out ROI, median pulls, trend, and sample size. The formula is public.
Observed odds
Odds reconstructed from thousands of real pulls — including 48-hour tier shifts that show when the good cards have stopped coming out.
Floor safety & dilution
How much of a pack’s EV rides on the top 2% of pulls — so you know a lottery when you see one.
Buyback reality
The observed instant-offer ratio versus the platform’s measured 84.6% of FMV. Every verdict already uses the real cash-out number.
+EV alerts
The moment any pack crosses above 1.0, it posts to Discord. Buy when the math is in your favor, not when you feel lucky.
04 / Pro
The numbers are free. The speed is Pro.
Core methodology, limited rankings and educational tools stay free. Pro delivers the edge to you — instant +EV and big-hit alerts in your Discord, full history, and CSV export.
05 / FAQ
Common questions
- Which Courtyard pack is the best value right now?
- Bronze Age Pack currently has the highest cash-out EV ratio at 1.034x, from 62 indexed pulls at 87/100 data quality. Only packs that clear our reliability threshold are eligible for this answer, out of 149 tracked. Rankings refresh as new pulls are indexed.
- What is a mystery pack EV tracker?
- A tool that computes the expected value (EV) of mystery packs from real recorded pulls. PullValue indexes every Courtyard pull and publishes each pack’s live EV, EV ratio, observed odds, and hit rate so buyers can check the math before ripping.
- What does a cash-out ratio above 1.0 mean?
- The pack returns more than it costs on average, after Courtyard’s buyback haircut. The plain EV ratio divides by price at sticker FMV, where 1.0 is still a loss the size of the haircut — so the cash-out ratio is the one that breaks even at 1.0, and the one PullValue ranks by.
- Are PullValue’s odds the same as Courtyard’s posted odds?
- No — they are observed odds, reconstructed from thousands of real pulls. They reflect what actually came out of the pack, including how the pool changes as chase cards get pulled.
- How does PullValue calculate a pack’s EV?
- Every indexed pull’s fair market value (FMV) is averaged with decay weighting — recent pulls count more — so the calibrated EV tracks what the pack has been returning lately rather than its lifetime average. It measures observed pulls, not remaining inventory, which Courtyard does not publish. The full formula is documented on the methodology page.
- Is PullValue free?
- The free tier shows the top 3 packs in full — live EV, odds, verdicts — plus the pull feed and every guide. Pro unlocks the complete rankings for every tracked pack, instant +EV alerts, and exports.
06 / The method
How mystery pack EV works
Expected value
EV is the average fair-market value of everything pulled from a pack, computed across every pull we have indexed for it using Courtyard's own FMV estimates. An EV above the pack price means the average rip returns more than it costs.
Hit rate
The share of pulls worth at least the pack price. Two packs can share an EV while feeling completely different: a high hit rate pays out steadily, a low one is carried by rare chase cards.
Sample size
EV on a dozen pulls is noise; on thousands it is signal. We show the sample next to every number so you can judge how much to trust it — and the history chart shows how EV drifts as chase cards leave the pool.
Go deeper on pack math
The concepts behind every ranking on this page, explained with the same live data.











