2021 25th Anniversary Collection #005/028 Lugia - Holo (CGC 8 NM-MT)$10
2020 Panini Prizm #307 Joe Burrow (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$119
2025 Mega Dream ex - M2a #225/193 Mega Eelektross ex - Mega Attack Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$17
2021 Pokémon 25th Anniversary Collection #001 Pikachu - Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)$27
2024 Stellar Crown - SCR EN #001/142 Venusaur ex - Venusaur & Blastoise ex Premium Collection (Holo) (CGC 9.5 MINT+)$9
1989 Score #242 Howie Long (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$44
2018 Topps Update #US1 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$548
1986 Topps #203 Steve Largent (PSA 7 NM)$11
1998 Vending Series 1 (Pokeball Symbol. Glossy) Parasect (CGC 9 MINT)$16
2023 Pokémon Clb-Trading Card Game Classic Blastoise & Suicune EX Deck #013 Mr. Mime (PSA 9 MINT)$22
2024 Pokémon Mew EN-151 #007 Squirtle - 151 5-Pack Mini Tins (CGC 9 MINT)$14
2022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Lost Origin #TG09 Spiritomb - Full Art (PSA 9 MINT)$23
2025 Pokémon Mbg-Mega Starter Set Mega Gengar EX #003 Mega Gengar EX - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$48
2024 Stellar Miracle #105/102 Turtonator - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$14
2013 Pokémon XY #019 Panpour - Y (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$100
2004 EX Fire Red & Leaf Green #18/112 Arcanine (CGC 8.5 NM-MT+)$15
2025 ex Starter Sets (svOD, svOM) #019/018 Steven's Beldum - Steven's Beldum & Metagross ex (Holo) (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$43
2023 Old Maid: Super High Tension Dive Ball (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$10
2011 Emerging Powers #53/98 Gigalith - Emerging Powers Prerelease (CGC 9 MINT)$17
1999 Fossil #38/62 Kingler (CGC 5.5 EX+)$92021 25th Anniversary Collection #005/028 Lugia - Holo (CGC 8 NM-MT)$102020 Panini Prizm #307 Joe Burrow (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$1192025 Mega Dream ex - M2a #225/193 Mega Eelektross ex - Mega Attack Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$172021 Pokémon 25th Anniversary Collection #001 Pikachu - Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)$272024 Stellar Crown - SCR EN #001/142 Venusaur ex - Venusaur & Blastoise ex Premium Collection (Holo) (CGC 9.5 MINT+)$91989 Score #242 Howie Long (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$442018 Topps Update #US1 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$5481986 Topps #203 Steve Largent (PSA 7 NM)$111998 Vending Series 1 (Pokeball Symbol. Glossy) Parasect (CGC 9 MINT)$162023 Pokémon Clb-Trading Card Game Classic Blastoise & Suicune EX Deck #013 Mr. Mime (PSA 9 MINT)$222024 Pokémon Mew EN-151 #007 Squirtle - 151 5-Pack Mini Tins (CGC 9 MINT)$142022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Lost Origin #TG09 Spiritomb - Full Art (PSA 9 MINT)$232025 Pokémon Mbg-Mega Starter Set Mega Gengar EX #003 Mega Gengar EX - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$482024 Stellar Miracle #105/102 Turtonator - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$142013 Pokémon XY #019 Panpour - Y (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$1002004 EX Fire Red & Leaf Green #18/112 Arcanine (CGC 8.5 NM-MT+)$152025 ex Starter Sets (svOD, svOM) #019/018 Steven's Beldum - Steven's Beldum & Metagross ex (Holo) (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$432023 Old Maid: Super High Tension Dive Ball (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$102011 Emerging Powers #53/98 Gigalith - Emerging Powers Prerelease (CGC 9 MINT)$171999 Fossil #38/62 Kingler (CGC 5.5 EX+)$9Live EV & observed odds · Courtyard mystery packs
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it.
PullValue is a free expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs. It indexes every recorded pull and turns it into live EV ratios, observed odds, hit rates, and verdicts — but only on packs whose sample actually supports one. Where the data is thin we say so instead of guessing.
Core methodology, limited rankings and educational tools are free. Pro unlocks complete coverage, personalized intelligence, advanced monitoring and faster delivery.
Best value now
No pack currently meets PullValue's reliability threshold. Waiting is the strongest data-backed option.
8 packs currently have enough data to judge, but none beats its own price after the buyback haircut.
See every pack and why it does not qualify →- Packs tracked
- 81
- Pulls indexed
- 3,241
- Top EV right now
- $3,675
- Last pull indexed
- 31m ago
01 / Rankings
Courtyard pack rankings by EV ratio
Every tracked pack ranked by live, decay-weighted EV ratio — refreshed every 10 minutes as new pulls are indexed. 1.0 is break-even.
Sort:
01Pokémon Master Pack
CAUTION$1061.060x
▲ 9.0% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.3%
- Sample
- 58
02Pokémon Pro Pack
SKIP$500.996x
▼ 3.3% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 26.0%
- Sample
- 150
03Wildcard Starter Pack
SKIP$250.992x
▼ 9.2% · 7d
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 21.0%
- Sample
- 62
04Pokémon Starter Pack
CAUTION$250.987x
▼ 1.5% · 7d
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 835
05One Piece Pro Pack
CAUTION$490.984x
▲ 1.4% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 25.8%
- Sample
- 31
06Wildcard Basic Pack
SKIP$150.969x
▼ 5.2% · 7d
- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 16.8%
- Sample
- 238
07Football Pro Pack
SKIP$460.923x
▼ 22.2% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 21.2%
- Sample
- 33
08Pokémon Basic Pack
SKIP$100.697x
▼ 15.8% · 7d
- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 13.8%
- Sample
- 109
09Sports Master Pack
EARLY READ$1211.214x
▲ 41.3% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 5
10Baseball Pro Pack
EARLY READ$601.203x
▼ 0.3% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Sample
- 12
11Hockey Starter Pack
EARLY READ$291.163x
▲ 36.5% · 7d
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 38.9%
- Sample
- 18
12Football Ultra Pack
CAUTION$2831.132x
▲ 32.7% · 7d
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 5
13Sports Pro Pack
CAUTION$551.092x
▲ 28.4% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.0%
- Sample
- 10
14Football Master Pack
CAUTION$1071.066x
▲ 22.4% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 20
15One Piece Starter Pack
EARLY READ$251.017x
▲ 13.0% · 7d
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 26.7%
- Sample
- 15
16Basketball Master Pack
SKIP$940.942x
▼ 44.6% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 22.2%
- Sample
- 9
17Wildcard Master Pack
SKIP$860.863x
▼ 12.9% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 6
18Baseball Master Pack
SKIP$810.806x
▼ 11.8% · 7d
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 8
19Comic Pro Pack
SKIP$380.767x
▼ 6.7% · 7d
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 20.0%
- Sample
- 15
20Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)
NO DATA$4651.868x
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- $249
- Hit rate
- 100.0%
- Sample
- 1
21The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)
NO DATA$1001.449x
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 75.0%
- Sample
- 4
22The Final Whistle: Spain
NO DATA$690.875x
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- $79
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3
23Wildcard Ultra Pack
NO DATA$2140.856x
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
24One Piece Platinum Pack
NO DATA$4230.847x
▲ 2.5% · 7d
- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3
25Sports Ultra Pack
NO DATA$2030.812x
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 2
26Classic Watch Box
NO DATA$3,675—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
27Basketball Mythic Pack
NO DATA$3,642—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
28Pokémon VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA$1,712—
▲ 28.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
29Comic Diamond Pack
NO DATA$1,166—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
30Pokémon Diamond Pack
NO DATA$889—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
31One Piece Diamond Pack
NO DATA$812—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
32Sports VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA$565—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
33Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)
NO DATA$502—
▼ 19.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
34Soccer Platinum Pack
NO DATA$480—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
35Pokémon Platinum Pack
NO DATA$461—
▼ 7.8% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
36Basketball Platinum Pack
NO DATA$458—
▲ 3.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5
37One Piece Ultra Pack
NO DATA$509—
▲ 146.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4
38The World Stage VIP Pack
NO DATA$417—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
39Baseball Platinum Pack
NO DATA$376—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
40Pokémon Ultra Pack
NO DATA$313—
▼ 52.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 11
41Summer Pull Party (Spicy)
NO DATA$283—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
42Baseball Ultra Pack
NO DATA$232—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
43Bussin’ With The Boys National Pack
NO DATA$279—
▲ 276.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 46
44Basketball Ultra Pack
NO DATA$210—
▲ 1.6% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
45Sports City Series
NO DATA$194—
▼ 28.8% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 31
46Spider-Man Pack
NO DATA$167—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
47Modern Age Pack
NO DATA$140—
▼ 35.6% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
48Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA$138—
▲ 8.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 19
49The Amazing Chase Encore
NO DATA$142—
▲ 52.4% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 99
50The Amazing Chase Gold+
NO DATA$133—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
51Bronze Age Pack
NO DATA$128—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
52The Eras Collection: Origins
NO DATA$123—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5
53$150 Coin Pack
NO DATA$115—
▼ 23.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9
54The Eras Collection: Ascension
NO DATA$118—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
55One Piece Master Pack
NO DATA$104—
▼ 11.8% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 12
56SLAM Pack
NO DATA$100—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
57Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA$99—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
58Pokemon: The Amazing Chase Day 5
NO DATA$95—
▲ 5.5% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 86
59Soccer Master Pack
NO DATA$85—
▼ 1.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 8
60Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4
NO DATA$85—
▲ 9.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 62
61The Eras Collection: Generation
NO DATA$68—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
62Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3
NO DATA$66—
▼ 6.6% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 96
63Football PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA$62—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
64The Final Whistle: Argentina
NO DATA$61—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
65The Eras Collection: Encore
NO DATA$58—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
66Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Encore
NO DATA$54—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
67Soccer Pro Pack
NO DATA$56—
▲ 27.3% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 15
68Hockey Pro Pack
NO DATA$48—
▲ 26.3% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 11
69Basketball Pro Pack
NO DATA$45—
▼ 10.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 28
70Wildcard Pro Pack
NO DATA$46—
▲ 17.1% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 6
71Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 2
NO DATA$39—
▼ 5.1% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 153
72Football Starter Pack
NO DATA$26—
▲ 38.3% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 36
73Sports Starter Pack
NO DATA$24—
▼ 25.8% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 208
74Basketball Starter Pack
NO DATA$26—
▲ 34.6% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 14
75Baseball Starter Pack
NO DATA$24—
▲ 18.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 43
76Soccer Starter Pack
NO DATA$24—
▼ 19.3% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21
77Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1
NO DATA$20—
▲ 5.2% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 324
78Sealed Pokémon Booster
NO DATA$19—
▼ 15.5% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 102
79Sealed Magic: The Gathering Booster
NO DATA$16—
▲ 42.7% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 59
80Sports Basic Pack
NO DATA$14—
▲ 9.9% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 28
81Baseball Basic Pack
NO DATA$14—
▲ 0.0% · 7d
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
Full comparison table
Every pack, every number, side by side.
| # | Pack | Price | Calibrated EV | EV ratio | Hit rate | 7d trend | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable signals(8)30+ indexed pulls, fresh data, and a data-quality score of 70 or better. | |||||||
| 01 | Pokémon Master PackPokémon | $100 | $106.00 | 1.060x | 29.3% | CAUTION | |
| 02 | Pokémon Pro PackPokémon | $50 | $49.81 | 0.996x | 26.0% | SKIP | |
| 03 | Wildcard Starter PackPokémon | $25 | $24.80 | 0.992x | 21.0% | SKIP | |
| 04 | Pokémon Starter PackPokémon | $25 | $24.68 | 0.987x | 22.2% | CAUTION | |
| 05 | One Piece Pro PackOne Piece | $50 | $49.18 | 0.984x | 25.8% | CAUTION | |
| 06 | Wildcard Basic PackFootball | $15 | $14.53 | 0.969x | 16.8% | SKIP | |
| 07 | Football Pro PackFootball | $50 | $46.13 | 0.923x | 21.2% | SKIP | |
| 08 | Pokémon Basic PackPokémon | $15 | $10.46 | 0.697x | 13.8% | SKIP | |
| Emerging signals(11)5-29 indexed pulls. Early reads only — these never carry a buy call. | |||||||
| 09 | Sports Master PackBaseball | $100 | $121.35 | 1.214x | 40.0% | EARLY READ | |
| 10 | Baseball Pro PackBaseball | $50 | $60.13 | 1.203x | 50.0% | EARLY READ | |
| 11 | Hockey Starter PackHockey | $25 | $29.07 | 1.163x | 38.9% | EARLY READ | |
| 12 | Football Ultra PackFootball | $250 | $282.90 | 1.132x | 40.0% | CAUTION | |
| 13 | Sports Pro PackBaseball | $50 | $54.59 | 1.092x | 30.0% | CAUTION | |
| 14 | Football Master PackFootball | $100 | $106.59 | 1.066x | 40.0% | CAUTION | |
| 15 | One Piece Starter PackOne Piece | $25 | $25.43 | 1.017x | 26.7% | EARLY READ | |
| 16 | Basketball Master PackBasketball | $100 | $94.17 | 0.942x | 22.2% | SKIP | |
| 17 | Wildcard Master PackPokémon | $100 | $86.27 | 0.863x | 16.7% | SKIP | |
| 18 | Baseball Master PackBaseball | $100 | $80.64 | 0.806x | 0.0% | SKIP | |
| 19 | Comic Pro PackMarvel Comic | $50 | $38.37 | 0.767x | 20.0% | SKIP | |
62 packs are not ranked here — no price on record, too few indexed pulls, or data too stale to judge. They stay off the ranking rather than padding it out. How packs qualify
02 / Big hits
Today's biggest hits
03 / The toolkit
Everything you need to buy with an edge
Built from the complaints collectors actually post: optimistic averages, hidden haircuts, and pools that quietly drain.
01
Calibrated EV & ratios
Decay-weighted expected value that reflects the pool as it exists now — ranked by EV ratio, with 1.0 as the break-even line.
02
Rip Advisor verdicts
BUY, CAUTION, or SKIP on every pack, scored 0–100 from cash-out ROI, median pulls, trend, and sample size. The formula is public.
03
Observed odds
Odds reconstructed from thousands of real pulls — including 48-hour tier shifts that show when the good cards are leaving the pool.
04
Floor safety & dilution
How much of a pack’s EV rides on the top 2% of pulls — so you know a lottery when you see one.
05
Buyback reality
The observed instant-offer ratio versus the advertised ~90% of FMV. Every verdict already uses the real cash-out number.
06
+EV alerts
The moment any pack crosses above 1.0, it posts to Discord. Buy when the math is in your favor, not when you feel lucky.
04 / Pro
The numbers are free. The speed is Pro.
Core methodology, limited rankings and educational tools stay free. Pro delivers the edge to you — instant +EV and big-hit alerts in your Discord, full history, and CSV export.
05 / FAQ
Common questions
- Which Courtyard pack is the best value right now?
- No pack currently meets PullValue's reliability threshold. Waiting is the strongest data-backed option. 8 packs currently have enough data to judge, but none of them beats its own price after the buyback haircut.
- What is a mystery pack EV tracker?
- A tool that computes the expected value (EV) of mystery packs from real recorded pulls. PullValue indexes every Courtyard pull and publishes each pack’s live EV, EV ratio, observed odds, and hit rate so buyers can check the math before ripping.
- What does an EV ratio above 1.0 mean?
- The pack pays out more than it costs on average (+EV). Below 1.0, the average rip returns less than the pack price. PullValue ranks every pack by its live, decay-weighted EV ratio.
- Are PullValue’s odds the same as Courtyard’s posted odds?
- No — they are observed odds, reconstructed from thousands of real pulls. They reflect what actually came out of the pack, including how the pool changes as chase cards get pulled.
- How does PullValue calculate a pack’s EV?
- Every indexed pull’s fair market value (FMV) is averaged with decay weighting — recent pulls count more — so the calibrated EV reflects the pool as it exists now. The full formula is documented on the methodology page.
- Is PullValue free?
- The free tier shows the top 3 packs in full — live EV, odds, verdicts — plus the pull feed and every guide. Pro unlocks the complete rankings for every tracked pack, instant +EV alerts, and exports.
06 / The method
How mystery pack EV works
Expected value
EV is the average fair-market value of everything pulled from a pack, computed across every pull we have indexed for it using Courtyard's own FMV estimates. An EV above the pack price means the average rip returns more than it costs.
Hit rate
The share of pulls worth at least the pack price. Two packs can share an EV while feeling completely different: a high hit rate pays out steadily, a low one is carried by rare chase cards.
Sample size
EV on a dozen pulls is noise; on thousands it is signal. We show the sample next to every number so you can judge how much to trust it — and the history chart shows how EV drifts as chase cards leave the pool.
Go deeper on pack math
The concepts behind every ranking on this page, explained with the same live data.