Is Gengar's Game Night 1 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Gengar's Game Night 1?

The calibrated EV is $37.96 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $29.70 across 2,493 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Gengar's Game Night 1?

We cannot say yet. Gengar's Game Night 1 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 2,493 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Gengar's Game Night 1?

The median pull is $29.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $267.10.

Pokémon

Gengar's Game Night 1

Gengar's Game Night 1 is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $37.96 and a typical (median) pull of $29.70 across 2,493 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$38

— ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE · 2,493 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 1.5 h ago

Calibrated EV: $38
Cash-out EV: $33
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $30
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $38
Pulls indexed: 2,493
Last pull: 1h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Gengar's Game Night 1 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Gengar's Game Night 1 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 1.5 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 1.5 h; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 1000; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Gengar's Game Night 1

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1996 to 2026.

Current (2020+)87%$36 avg
Modern (2010-2019)6%$51 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)4%$40 avg
Retro (2000-2009)3%$67 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX6%$33 avg
Pokémon M2-Inferno X3%$31 avg
Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero3%$28 avg
Pokémon M4-Ninja Spinner3%$30 avg
Mega Dream ex - M2a2%$29 avg
Pokémon Meg EN-Mega Evolution2%$43 avg
Black Star Promos - Mega Evolution MEP EN2%$31 avg
Pokémon Mep EN-Me Black Star Promo2%$46 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 99% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Pikachu3%$48 avg
Bulbasaur2%$30 avg
Oricorio EX1%$56 avg
Dewgong1%$25 avg
Eevee1%$90 avg
Mega Charizard X EX1%$37 avg
Mega Gengar EX1%$39 avg
N's Zekrom1%$30 avg

Built from the 1000 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Gengar's Game Night 1 floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Gengar's Game Night 1, the top 2% of pulls account for 11% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 88% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

11% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

86.5% of FMV observed

Across 2,480 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $86 if you instant-sell — better than the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Measured per card rather than per dollar the ratio is 87.9% — higher because cheaper cards draw proportionally better offers. That one describes a single card; the 86.5% above describes a basket, which is what an expected value needs.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

995 paired pulls · 100% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $32.53 — $5.14 below sticker FMV (13.6% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Gengar's Game Night 1 odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $150.0%· stable
$15 – $3049.9%· stable
$30 – $61 · beats the pack42.6%· stable
$61 – $152 · big hit6.0%· stable
$152+ · chase1.5%· stable

Observed across 1,000 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Gengar's Game Night 1 pulls

2019 Pokémon Sun & Moon Hidden Fates #SV82 Cynthia - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$267PSA 10 GEM MINT

2004 Pokémon EX Team Rocket Returns #12 Kingdra - Reverse Foil (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$266PSA 8 NM-MT

1999 Topps Pokémon TV #1 Bulbasaur (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$266PSA 10 GEM MINT

2019 Pokémon Sun & Moon Cosmic Eclipse #216 Solgaleo & Lunala GX - Holo Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$265PSA 8 NM-MT

2025 Pokémon Dri EN-Destined Rivals #230 Ethan's HO-Oh EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$261PSA 10 GEM MINT

2003 Pokémon Best of Game Promo #7 Dark Venusaur (PSA 9 MINT)

$257PSA 9 MINT

2017 Pokémon Sun & Moon #147 Lillie - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$251PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Sword and Shield Crown Zenith #GG03 Magmortar - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$249PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Gengar's Game Night 1 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $37.96, and has moved up 5.6% over the last 7 days.

$37.96EV

09 / Quick answers

Gengar's Game Night 1 — quick answers

Is Gengar's Game Night 1 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Gengar's Game Night 1?: The calibrated EV is $37.96 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $29.70 across 2,493 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Gengar's Game Night 1?: We cannot say yet. Gengar's Game Night 1 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 2,493 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Gengar's Game Night 1?: The median pull is $29.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $267.10.

10 / Pull log