Is Pokémon Legend Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is SKIP (score 35/100). Early read: only 13 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.

What is the EV of Pokémon Legend Pack?

The calibrated EV is $2,090.57 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $1,969.50 across 13 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Legend Pack?

7.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon Legend Pack?

The median pull is $1,969.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $2,760.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon Legend Pack

Pokémon Legend Pack is a $2,500 Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $2,090.57, worth $1,768.62 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.707x (0.836x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 7.7% of 13 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Early Rip Advisor lean (small sample): SKIP (35/100).

Ranked #71 of 76 ranked packs by cash-out ratio, #13 of 13 Pokémon packs.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.707x

$1,768.62 back on a $2,500 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 0.836x.

95% range $1,684.78–$1,852.47, clear of the $2,500 price.

SKIP-29.3% ROI

EMERGING · 13 pulls · 3dSIGNAL Weakening · 4 days ago

Calibrated EV: $2,091
Cash-out EV: $1,769
Pack price: $2,500
Typical pull: $1,970
Hit rate: 7.7%
Lifetime EV: $2,104
Pulls indexed: 13
Last pull: 3d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon Legend Pack worth it right now?

Early readscore 35/100SKIP

050100

Early read: only 13 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
Cash-out EV is $1,769 on a $2,500 pack (-29.3% net after the ~85% buyback) — the average rip loses money.
Cash-out EV is $1,768.62, and the sample is precise enough to place it below the $2,500.00 price: the 95% range is $1,684.78 to $1,852.47, which does not include the price.
The typical pull (median) is $1,970 — most rips return less than the pack price; the EV is carried by rare chase cards.
Recent pulls are averaging 7.8% above where they were 7 days ago. A restock would look like this; so would a lucky week. We cannot see inventory, so this is a change in what came out, not a confirmed change in what is in there.
Low volatility: steady pack. Fewer duds, but also fewer moonshots.
7.7% of pulls meet or beat the pack price, across 13 indexed pulls.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon Legend Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

13 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

BUILDING SAMPLE

13 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 13 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Weakening · 4 days ago

Pull flow has slowed past the usual gap of 34 h, so this read is ageing faster than the pack is producing evidence. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 18 days.

Newest pull: 4 days; observed
Pull rate: 0.7/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 7; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Pokémon Legend Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 13 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 1999 to 2026.

Modern (2010-2019)31%$2,209 avg
Retro (2000-2009)31%$2,197 avg
Current (2020+)23%$1,921 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)15%$1,983 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes15%$1,939 avg
Pokémon EX Unseen Forces15%$2,425 avg
Black Star Promos - Sword & Shield8%$2,332 avg
EX Deoxys8%$1,966 avg
EX Holon Phantoms8%$1,970 avg
Fossil8%$1,922 avg
Pokémon Call of Legends8%$2,250 avg
Pokémon Game Movie8%$2,045 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Mega Gengar EX15%$1,939 avg
Articuno8%$1,922 avg
Camerupt8%$1,970 avg
Celebi EX8%$2,091 avg
Deoxys8%$1,966 avg
Ditto8%$1,936 avg
Dragonite8%$2,045 avg
Mega Charizard X EX8%$1,886 avg

Built from the 13 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon Legend Pack pulls

2005 Pokémon EX Unseen Forces #13 Slowbro - Reverse Foil (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,760PSA 10 GEM MINT

2017 Black Star Promos - Sword & Shield #SWSH075 Special Delivery Charizard - Pokémon Center Purchase (Cosmos Holo) (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$2,332CGC 10 PRISTINE

2019 Pokémon SM Black Star Promo #SM191 Mewtwo & Mew GX - Holo Full Art Power Partnership Tins (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,319PSA 10 GEM MINT

2011 Pokémon Call of Legends #SL11 Suicune - Holo (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$2,250PSA 8 NM-MT

2005 Pokémon EX Unseen Forces #117 Celebi EX - Holo Holo (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$2,091PSA 8 NM-MT

1999 Pokémon Game Movie #5 Dragonite - Movie Promo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,045PSA 10 GEM MINT

2006 EX Holon Phantoms #36/110 Camerupt - Reverse Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$1,970CGC 10 PRISTINE

2005 EX Deoxys #17/107 Deoxys - Reverse Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$1,966CGC 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Pokémon Legend Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $2,090.57, below the $2,500 pack price, and has moved up 7.8% over the last 7 days.

0.707xCash-out ratio

09 / Quick answers

Pokémon Legend Pack — quick answers

Is Pokémon Legend Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is SKIP (score 35/100). Early read: only 13 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
What is the EV of Pokémon Legend Pack?: The calibrated EV is $2,090.57 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $1,969.50 across 13 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Legend Pack?: 7.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon Legend Pack?: The median pull is $1,969.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $2,760.00.

10 / Pull log

Latest Pokémon Legend Pack pulls

Compare Pokémon Legend Pack with other Pokémon packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.