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Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.844x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend Pack's 0.656x, across 22 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokémon Legend PackPokémon Mythic Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$5000
Calibrated EV$1939.46$4755.51
Cash-out ratio0.656x0.844x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.776x0.951x
Median pull$1948.30$4354.35
Hit rate16.7%25.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.15x0.24x
Pulls indexed616

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Legend Pack: 390 points from Aug 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-29.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.93x. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 401 points from Aug 11 to Sep 18, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+7.5%), ranging between 0.74x and 0.99x.

Pokémon Legend PackPokémon Mythic Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Mythic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokémon Legend Pack or Pokémon Mythic Pack?
Pokémon Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.844x vs 0.656x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokémon Legend Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 25.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokémon Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.24x vs 0.15x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokémon Legend Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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