Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.058x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend Pack's 0.656x, across 23 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Legend Pack | Pokémon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $2500 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $1939.46 | $3097.31 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.656x | 1.058x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.776x | 1.239x |
| Median pull | $1948.30 | $2469.30 |
| Hit rate | 16.7% | 35.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.15x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 6 | 17 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Legend Pack: 390 points from Aug 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-29.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.93x. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 398 points from Aug 11 to Sep 18, starting at 0.72x and ending at 1.06x, up overall (+46.7%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Legend Pack or Pokémon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.058x vs 0.656x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Legend Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 35.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.15x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Legend Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies