Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.019x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend Pack's 0.874x, across 152 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Legend Pack | Pokémon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $2500 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $2583.41 | $2986.74 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.874x | 1.019x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.033x | 1.195x |
| Median pull | $2101.40 | $2272.20 |
| Hit rate | 22.9% | 34.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.59x |
| Pulls indexed | 61 | 91 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Legend Pack: 949 points from Aug 12 to Nov 3, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-6.4%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.93x. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 957 points from Aug 11 to Nov 3, starting at 0.72x and ending at 1.02x, up overall (+41.5%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Legend Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Legend Pack or Pokémon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.019x vs 0.874x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Legend Pack: 22.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 34.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.59x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Legend Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies