Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.916x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend Pack's 0.656x, across 56 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokémon Legend Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $999 | $2500 |
| Calibrated EV | $1081.44 | $1939.46 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.916x | 0.656x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.083x | 0.776x |
| Median pull | $855.35 | $1948.30 |
| Hit rate | 30.0% | 16.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.15x |
| Pulls indexed | 50 | 6 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 401 points from Aug 11 to Sep 18, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+39.4%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokémon Legend Pack: 390 points from Aug 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-29.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokémon Legend Pack?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.916x vs 0.656x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 30.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend Pack: 16.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.15x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies