Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.937x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend Pack's 0.874x, across 380 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokémon Legend Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $999 | $2500 |
| Calibrated EV | $1103.86 | $2583.41 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.937x | 0.874x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.105x | 1.033x |
| Median pull | $846.70 | $2101.40 |
| Hit rate | 34.8% | 22.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.62x | 0.26x |
| Pulls indexed | 319 | 61 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 961 points from Aug 11 to Nov 3, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+42.4%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokémon Legend Pack: 949 points from Aug 12 to Nov 3, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-6.4%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokémon Legend Pack?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.937x vs 0.874x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 34.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend Pack: 22.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies