Is Pokémon Master Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is SKIP (score 41/100). Early read: only 5 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.

What is the EV of Pokémon Master Pack?

The calibrated EV is $106.74 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $89.10 across 5 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Master Pack?

40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon Master Pack?

The median pull is $89.10 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $137.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon Master Pack

Pokémon Master Pack is a $100 Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $106.74 — an EV ratio of 1.067x, so it currently pays out more than it costs on average (+EV). 40.0% of 5 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Early Rip Advisor lean (small sample): SKIP (41/100).

Ranked #9 of 38 tracked packs by EV ratio, #3 of 14 Pokémon packs.

Buy on Courtyard ↗Opens courtyard.io — PullValue is independent and earns nothing from purchases.

EV ratio

1.067x

SKIP+6.7% ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE· 5 pulls · 9d

Lifetime EV: $101
Cash-out EV: $90
Typical pull: $89
Pack price: $100
Hit rate: 40.0%
Pulls indexed: 5
Last pull: 9d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon Master Pack worth it right now?

Early readscore 41/100SKIP

050100

Early read: only 5 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
Cash-out EV is $90 on a $100 pack (-9.6% net after the ~85% buyback) — the average rip loses money.
The typical pull (median) is $89 — most rips return less than the pack price; the EV is carried by rare chase cards.
EV has been stable over the last 7 days.
Low volatility: steady pack. Fewer duds, but also fewer moonshots.
Calibrated EV (recent pulls weighted) is $107 vs $101 lifetime — the pool has improved recently.
40.0% of pulls meet or beat the pack price, across 5 indexed pulls.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

05 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon Master Pack pulls

2021 Pokémon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies #211 Sylveon Vmax - Full Art Secret (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$137PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Card 151 #170/165 Squirtle - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$111CGC 10 PRISTINE

2023 Black Star Promos - Scarlet & Violet SVPEN #052 Mewtwo - 151 Ultra-Premium Collection (Holo) (CGC 9.5 MINT+)

$89CGC 9.5 MINT+

2019 Hidden Fates #SV55/SV94 Glaceon GX - Shiny Vault Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$85CGC 10 GEM MINT

2022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Star Birth #014 Charizard V - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$84PSA 10 GEM MINT

06 / EV history

Pokémon Master Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $106.74, above the $100 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

1.067xEV ratio

07 / Quick answers

Pokémon Master Pack — quick answers

Is Pokémon Master Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is SKIP (score 41/100). Early read: only 5 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
What is the EV of Pokémon Master Pack?: The calibrated EV is $106.74 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $89.10 across 5 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Master Pack?: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon Master Pack?: The median pull is $89.10 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $137.00.

08 / Pull log

Latest Pokémon Master Pack pulls

2021 Pokémon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies #211 Sylveon Vmax - Full Art Secret (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$137.009d ago
2023 Pokémon Card 151 #170/165 Squirtle - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$110.909d ago
2023 Black Star Promos - Scarlet & Violet SVPEN #052 Mewtwo - 151 Ultra-Premium Collection (Holo) (CGC 9.5 MINT+)$89.1013d ago
2022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Star Birth #014 Charizard V - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$83.9013d ago
2019 Hidden Fates #SV55/SV94 Glaceon GX - Shiny Vault Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$84.8013d ago

Compare Pokémon Master Pack with other Pokémon packs

Same math, same methodology — live EV ratios so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.