Pokémon Master Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.899x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Master Pack's 0.854x, across 4,705 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Master Pack | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $100.53 | $265.66 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.854x | 0.899x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.005x | 1.063x |
| Median pull | $86.70 | $213.75 |
| Hit rate | 29.2% | 29.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 4,233 | 472 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Master Pack: 994 points from Jul 12 to Oct 25, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+18.3%), ranging between 0.72x and 0.92x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 983 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 2.22x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-59.4%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.22x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Master Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Master Pack or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.899x vs 0.854x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Master Pack: 29.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 29.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies