Pokémon Master Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.829x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra Pack's 0.812x, across 543 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Master Pack | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $97.81 | $239.84 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.829x | 0.812x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.978x | 0.959x |
| Median pull | $86.70 | $210.00 |
| Hit rate | 25.3% | 24.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.57x |
| Pulls indexed | 486 | 57 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Master Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 1.08x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-23.3%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.08x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 2.21x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-63.3%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.21x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Master Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Master Pack or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.829x vs 0.812x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Master Pack: 25.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 24.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies