Is Pokémon Ultra Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

What is the EV of Pokémon Ultra Pack?

The calibrated EV is $444.30 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $451.80 across 4 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Ultra Pack?

100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon Ultra Pack?

The median pull is $451.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $675.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon Ultra Pack

Pokémon Ultra Pack is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $444.30 and a typical (median) pull of $451.80 across 4 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Ranked #31 of 68 tracked packs by EV ratio, #12 of 22 Pokémon packs.

Calibrated EV

$444

— ROI

THIN DATA· 4 pulls · todaySIGNAL Awaiting new data · 23 h ago

Lifetime EV: $443
Cash-out EV: $376
Typical pull: $452
Pack price: Unknown
Hit rate: —
Pulls indexed: 4
Last pull: 22h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon Ultra Pack worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon Ultra Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

Only 4 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.

NO DATA

Only 4 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 4 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 23 h ago

Fewer than 5 indexed pulls — there is no signal to age yet.

Newest pull: 23 h; observed
Pull rate: 1.2/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 4; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

06 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon Ultra Pack pulls

2013 Pokémon Black & White Legendary Treasures #114 Reshiram - Full Art (PSA 9 MINT)

$675PSA 9 MINT

1999 Pokémon CD Promo #9 Blastoise - Holo CD Promo (PSA 9 MINT)

$655PSA 9 MINT

2025 Pokémon Meg EN-Mega Evolution #177 Mega Venusaur EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$249PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Pokémon Sv11b-Black Bolt #109 Seismitoad - Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$193PSA 10 GEM MINT

07 / EV history

Pokémon Ultra Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $444.30, and has moved down 32.1% over the last 7 days.

$444.3EV

08 / Quick answers

Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers

Is Pokémon Ultra Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.
What is the EV of Pokémon Ultra Pack?: The calibrated EV is $444.30 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $451.80 across 4 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Ultra Pack?: 100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon Ultra Pack?: The median pull is $451.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $675.00.

09 / Pull log

Latest Pokémon Ultra Pack pulls

Compare Pokémon Ultra Pack with other Pokémon packs

Same math, same methodology — live EV ratios so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.