Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Platinum Pack's 0.849x, across 668 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Platinum Pack | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $489.17 | $257.57 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.849x | 0.872x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.978x | 1.030x |
| Median pull | $453.30 | $213.70 |
| Hit rate | 32.2% | 29.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 211 | 457 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Platinum Pack: 925 points from Aug 1 to Oct 23, starting at 0.87x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-2.3%), ranging between 0.77x and 1.49x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 964 points from Jul 28 to Oct 23, starting at 2.22x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-60.6%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.22x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Platinum Pack or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.849x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Platinum Pack: 32.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 29.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies