Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.949x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra Pack's 0.900x, across 985 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $499 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $554.43 | $265.88 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.949x | 0.900x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.111x | 1.064x |
| Median pull | $418.05 | $213.70 |
| Hit rate | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.55x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 514 | 471 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 975 points from Jul 29 to Oct 25, starting at 1.07x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-11.6%), ranging between 0.59x and 1.07x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 982 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 2.22x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-59.4%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.22x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.949x vs 0.900x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 32.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 29.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.55x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies