
Basketball
Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) is a Courtyard Basketball mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $98.87 and a typical (median) pull of $73.00 across 3 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.
Calibrated EV
$99
- Calibrated EV
- $99
- Cash-out EV
- $84
- Pack price
- Unknown
- Typical pull
- $73
- Hit rate
- —
- Lifetime EV
- $99
- Pulls indexed
- 3
- Last pull
- 52d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) worth it right now?
- No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) pool
Only 3 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Only 3 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 3 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 53 days agoFewer than 5 indexed pulls — there is no signal to age yet.
- Newest pull
- 53 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- none
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
Only 3 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 2020 to 2025.
- Current (2020+)100%$99 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Bowman Chrome University33%$160 avg
- Topps Now33%$73 avg
- Upper Deck Goodwin Champions33%$64 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Ace Bailey33%$160 avg
- Cooper Flagg33%$73 avg
- Michael Jordan33%$64 avg
Built from the 3 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) pulls
08 / EV history
Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $98.87, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
EV over time: 552 points from Sep 12 to Sep 18, starting at $99 and ending at $99, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) — quick answers
- Is Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
- What is the EV of Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- The calibrated EV is $98.87 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $73.00 across 3 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- We cannot say yet. Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 3 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
- What is the typical pull from Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- The median pull is $73.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $160.00.
10 / Pull log
Latest Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) pulls
Compare Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy) with other Basketball packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Sports Cosmic PackEV $8,007SET PACK PRICE
- Basketball Mythic Pack0.745x cash-out · EV $4,404 · hit rate 22.2%HOUSE EDGE
- Sports Mythic PackEV $3,581SET PACK PRICE
- Basketball Legend Pack1.210x cash-out · EV $3,576 · hit rate 25.0%GREAT VALUE
- Basketball Diamond Pack0.808x cash-out · EV $955 · hit rate 11.1%HOUSE EDGE
- Sports Platinum Pack1.035x cash-out · EV $591 · hit rate 20.0%+EV
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.


