Is Basketball Legend Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 37 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

What is the EV of Basketball Legend Pack?

The calibrated EV is $3,042.48 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $2,128.90 across 5 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Basketball Legend Pack?

20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Basketball Legend Pack?

The median pull is $2,128.90 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $5,456.00.

Basketball

Basketball Legend Pack

Basketball Legend Pack is a $2,500 Courtyard Basketball mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $3,042.48, worth $2,573.94 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 1.030x (1.217x at sticker FMV), so it currently pays out more than it costs on average, after Courtyard's buyback haircut (+EV). 20.0% of 5 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

1.030x

$2,573.94 back on a $2,500 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.217x.

95% range $1,207.86–$3,940.02 — that still includes the $2,500 price, so this edge is inside the noise of the sample.

+3.0% ROI

INSUFFICIENT DATA · 5 pulls · 36dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 37 days ago

Calibrated EV: $3,042
Cash-out EV: $2,574
Pack price: $2,500
Typical pull: $2,129
Hit rate: 20.0%
Lifetime EV: $2,712
Pulls indexed: 5
Last pull: 36d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Basketball Legend Pack worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No new pulls in 37 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Basketball Legend Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

5 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

BUILDING SAMPLE

5 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 5 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 37 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 37 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Basketball Legend Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 5 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 1972 to 2025.

Current (2020+)60%$2,092 avg
Retro (2000-2009)20%$5,456 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)20%$1,830 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies40%$2,129 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Opti-Graphs20%$2,017 avg
Topps20%$1,830 avg
Upper Deck Trilogy Trimarks 1 or 220%$5,456 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Dylan Harper40%$2,129 avg
Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming20%$5,456 avg
Julius Erving20%$1,830 avg
Stephen Curry20%$2,017 avg

Built from the 5 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Basketball Legend Pack pulls

2004 Upper Deck Trilogy Trimarks 1 or 2 #TMHJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming - 2 (PSA 7 NM)

$5,456PSA 7 NM

$2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DH Dylan Harper - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$

2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DH Dylan Harper - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,129PSA 10 GEM MINT

$2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DH Dylan Harper - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$

2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DH Dylan Harper - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,129PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Opti-Graphs #OGCUR Stephen Curry (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,017PSA 10 GEM MINT

1972 Topps #195 Julius Erving (PSA 7.5 NM+)

$1,830PSA 7.5 NM+

08 / EV history

Basketball Legend Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $3,042.48, above the $2,500 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

1.030xCash-out ratio

09 / Quick answers

Basketball Legend Pack — quick answers

Is Basketball Legend Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 37 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
What is the EV of Basketball Legend Pack?: The calibrated EV is $3,042.48 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $2,128.90 across 5 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Basketball Legend Pack?: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Basketball Legend Pack?: The median pull is $2,128.90 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $5,456.00.

10 / Pull log

Latest Basketball Legend Pack pulls

Compare Basketball Legend Pack with other Basketball packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.