Basketball
Basketball Legend Pack
Basketball Legend Pack is a $2,500 Courtyard Basketball mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $1,837.09, worth $1,554.18 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.622x (0.735x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 0.0% of 2 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.
Ranked #82 of 129 tracked packs by cash-out ratio, #9 of 11 Basketball packs.
This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.
Cash-out ratio
0.622x
$1,554.18 back on a $2,500 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 0.735x.
- Calibrated EV
- $1,837
- Cash-out EV
- $1,554
- Pack price
- $2,500
- Typical pull
- $1,923
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Lifetime EV
- $1,923
- Pulls indexed
- 2
- Last pull
- 3d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Basketball Legend Pack worth it right now?
- Only 2 indexed pulls — below the 5-pull floor for any read at all.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Basketball Legend Pack pool
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 2 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Invalidated · 3 days agoRe-check before acting: the price moved after the newest pull we indexed.
The pack price changed after the most recent pull, so every EV-vs-price call here predates the current ticket.
- Newest pull
- 3 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- 0.3/day
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 1
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Basketball Legend Pack
Only 2 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 1972 to 2024.
- Current (2020+)50%$2,017 avg
- Vintage (pre-2000)50%$1,830 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Panini Donruss Optic Opti-Graphs50%$2,017 avg
- Topps50%$1,830 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Julius Erving50%$1,830 avg
- Stephen Curry50%$2,017 avg
Built from the 2 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Basketball Legend Pack pulls
08 / EV history
Basketball Legend Pack EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $1,837.09, below the $2,500 pack price, and has moved down 8.9% over the last 7 days.
EV ratio over time: 72 points from Sep 4 to Sep 10, starting at 0.81x and ending at 0.73x, down overall (-8.9%), ranging between 0.73x and 0.81x.
09 / Quick answers
Basketball Legend Pack — quick answers
- Is Basketball Legend Pack worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Only 2 indexed pulls — below the 5-pull floor for any read at all.
- What is the EV of Basketball Legend Pack?
- The calibrated EV is $1,837.09 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $1,923.30 across 2 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Basketball Legend Pack?
- 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
- What is the typical pull from Basketball Legend Pack?
- The median pull is $1,923.30 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $2,017.10.
10 / Pull log
Latest Basketball Legend Pack pulls
Compare Basketball Legend Pack with other Basketball packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Basketball Mythic Pack1.515x cash-out · EV $8,955 · hit rate 33.3%GREAT VALUE
- Sports VIP (Spicy)EV $1,150SET PACK PRICE
- Basketball Diamond Pack0.766x cash-out · EV $906 · hit rate 0.0%HOUSE EDGE
- Basketball Platinum Pack0.902x cash-out · EV $501 · hit rate 23.1%HOUSE EDGE
- Basketball Ultra Pack0.786x cash-out · EV $230 · hit rate 20.7%HOUSE EDGE
- Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)EV $99SET PACK PRICE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.