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Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.717x cash-out ratio against Basketball Legend Pack's 0.665x, across 30 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Legend PackBasketball Mythic Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$5000
Calibrated EV$1965.28$4239.67
Cash-out ratio0.665x0.717x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.786x0.848x
Median pull$2008.55$4176.40
Hit rate16.7%22.2%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.42x0.60x
Pulls indexed1218

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Legend Pack: 918 points from Aug 16 to Nov 3, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-2.6%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x. Basketball Mythic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 1.51x and ending at 0.72x, down overall (-52.7%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.51x.

Basketball Legend PackBasketball Mythic Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Legend Pack or Basketball Mythic Pack?
Basketball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.717x vs 0.665x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Legend Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Mythic Pack: 22.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.60x vs 0.42x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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