Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Legend Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 1.030x cash-out ratio against Basketball Diamond Pack's 0.808x, across 14 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Basketball Legend Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $2500 |
| Calibrated EV | $954.91 | $3042.48 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.808x | 1.030x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.955x | 1.217x |
| Median pull | $900.00 | $2128.90 |
| Hit rate | 11.1% | 20.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.24x | 0.51x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 5 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 407 points from Aug 11 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+20.2%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.97x. Basketball Legend Pack: 356 points from Aug 16 to Sep 19, starting at 0.68x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+50.8%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Legend Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Basketball Legend Pack?
- Basketball Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.030x vs 0.808x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 11.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Legend Pack: 20.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.24x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies