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Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 1.030x cash-out ratio against Basketball Platinum Pack's 0.941x, across 27 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Legend PackBasketball Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$3042.48$538.90
Cash-out ratio1.030x0.941x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.217x1.078x
Median pull$2128.90$461.50
Hit rate20.0%36.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.51x0.28x
Pulls indexed522

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Legend Pack: 356 points from Aug 16 to Sep 19, starting at 0.68x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+50.8%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x. Basketball Platinum Pack: 573 points from Jul 29 to Sep 19, starting at 0.77x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+22.2%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.98x.

Basketball Legend PackBasketball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Legend Pack or Basketball Platinum Pack?
Basketball Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.030x vs 0.941x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Legend Pack: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Platinum Pack: 36.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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