Is Fire & Electric worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Fire & Electric?

The calibrated EV is $40.63 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $32.90 across 2,337 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Fire & Electric?

We cannot say yet. Fire & Electric has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 2,337 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Fire & Electric?

The median pull is $32.90 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $276.30.

Pokémon

Fire & Electric

Fire & Electric is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $40.63 and a typical (median) pull of $32.90 across 2,337 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$41

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 2,337 pulls · 8dSIGNAL Stale · 8 days ago

Calibrated EV: $41
Cash-out EV: $35
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $33
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $41
Pulls indexed: 2,337
Last pull: 8d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Fire & Electric worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Fire & Electric pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Stale · 8 days ago

No new pulls for well past this pack's usual gap (typically 17 min). It may be paused, sold out, or no longer indexed.

Newest pull: 8 days; observed
Pull rate: 83.5/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Fire & Electric

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1999 to 2026.

Current (2020+)91%$39 avg
Modern (2010-2019)5%$58 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)2%$51 avg
Retro (2000-2009)1%$51 avg
Year not stated1%$46 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon M2-Inferno X11%$30 avg
Pokémon SV-P Promo7%$45 avg
Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX6%$37 avg
Pokémon M4-Ninja Spinner4%$28 avg
Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero4%$29 avg
Black Star Promos - Scarlet & Violet SVP EN3%$36 avg
Black Star Promos - Mega Evolution MEP EN3%$41 avg
Pokémon Svp EN-SV Black Star Promo3%$30 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on all but a handful of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Pikachu13%$46 avg
Togedemaru3%$28 avg
Ampharos3%$33 avg
Dedenne3%$28 avg
Yamper3%$32 avg
Magneton3%$30 avg
Ethan's Magcargo3%$29 avg
Charmander3%$50 avg

Built from the 1000 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Fire & Electric floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Fire & Electric, the top 2% of pulls account for 8% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 86% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

8% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

85.2% of FMV observed

Across 2,296 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — better than the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Measured per card rather than per dollar the ratio is 85.6% — higher because cheaper cards draw proportionally better offers. That one describes a single card; the 85.2% above describes a basket, which is what an expected value needs.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

981 paired pulls · 98% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $34.40 — $5.99 below sticker FMV (14.8% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Fire & Electric odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $160.0%· stable
$16 – $3249.9%· stable
$32 – $64 · beats the pack39.8%· stable
$64 – $161 · big hit9.7%· stable
$161+ · chase0.6%· stable

Observed across 1,000 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Fire & Electric pulls

2019 Pokémon SM Black Star Promo #SM210 Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX - Holo Full Art Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$400PSA 10 GEM MINT

2016 Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #XY124 Pikachu EX - Holo Full Art Red & Blue Collection (PSA 1 PR)

$349PSA 1 PR

2016 Pokémon Premium Champion Pack #036 Pikachu (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$276PSA 10 GEM MINT

2016 Pokémon Premium Champion Pack #036 Pikachu (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$276PSA 10 GEM MINT

1997 Pokémon Rocket #6 Dark Charizard - Holo (PSA 7 NM)

$266PSA 7 NM

1999 Pokémon Fossil #11 Magneton - 1st Edition Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

$256PSA 9 MINT

2016 Pokémon XY Generations Radiant Collection #RC28 Flareon EX - Holo Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$233PSA 8 NM-MT

2021 Pokémon Sword & Shield Shining Fates #SV107 Charizard Vmax - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$232PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Fire & Electric EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $40.63, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

$40.63EV

09 / Quick answers

Fire & Electric — quick answers

Is Fire & Electric worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Fire & Electric?: The calibrated EV is $40.63 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $32.90 across 2,337 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Fire & Electric?: We cannot say yet. Fire & Electric has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 2,337 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Fire & Electric?: The median pull is $32.90 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $276.30.

10 / Pull log