Is $100 Ancient Coins Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is SKIP (score 25/100). Early read: only 15 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.

What is the EV of $100 Ancient Coins Pack?

The calibrated EV is $91.52 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $93.50 across 15 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on $100 Ancient Coins Pack?

26.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from $100 Ancient Coins Pack?

The median pull is $93.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $126.50.

Ancient

$100 Ancient Coins Pack

$100 Ancient Coins Pack is a $100 Courtyard Ancient mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $91.52, worth $77.43 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.774x (0.915x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 26.7% of 15 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Early Rip Advisor lean (small sample): SKIP (25/100).

Ranked #55 of 129 tracked packs by cash-out ratio.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.774x

$77.43 back on a $100 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 0.915x.

SKIP-22.6% ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE· 15 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 9.7 h ago

Calibrated EV: $92
Cash-out EV: $77
Pack price: $100
Typical pull: $94
Hit rate: 26.7%
Lifetime EV: $93
Pulls indexed: 15
Last pull: 9h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is $100 Ancient Coins Pack worth it right now?

Early readscore 25/100SKIP

050100

Early read: only 15 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
Cash-out EV is $77 on a $100 pack (-22.6% net after the ~85% buyback) — the average rip loses money.
The typical pull (median) is $94 — most rips return less than the pack price; the EV is carried by rare chase cards.
EV has been stable over the last 7 days.
Low volatility: steady pack. Fewer duds, but also fewer moonshots.
26.7% of pulls meet or beat the pack price, across 15 indexed pulls.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the $100 Ancient Coins Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

First indexed pull 9 day(s) ago — the pool is new, so early numbers move fast and mean little yet.

NEWLY LAUNCHED

First indexed pull 9 day(s) ago — the pool is new, so early numbers move fast and mean little yet.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 15 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 9.7 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 9.1 days.

Newest pull: 9.7 h; observed
Pull rate: 1.7/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 10; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of $100 Ancient Coins Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 15 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

No printed years could be read from these names.

Year not stated100%$93 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Aurelian, AD 270-275 ROMAN EMPIRE BI Double-Denarius13%$94 avg
Bactria, Indo-Greeks GREEK COINAGE AE287%$83 avg
Const. Gallus, AD 351-354 ROMAN EMPIRE BI Centenionalis7%$77 avg
Constantius II,AD 337-361 ROMAN EMPIRE AE3/4 (BI Nummus) Epfig Hoard7%$94 avg
Gallienus, AD 253-268 ROMAN EMPIRE BI Double-Denarius7%$94 avg
Hermaeus, c.105-90 BC BACTRIA, INDO-GREEKS AR Tetradrachm7%$105 avg
Kingdom of Elymais GREEK COINAGE AR Drachm rv bearded head l.7%$105 avg
Maccabean Kings 135-37 BC JUDAEA AE Prutah Biblical "Widow's Mite"7%$77 avg

Built from the 15 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest $100 Ancient Coins Pack pulls

Parthian Kingdom GREEK COINAGE AR Drachm [also attr. Artabanus II] NGC ChVF

$127NGC ChVF

Parthian Kingdom GREEK COINAGE AR Drachm [also attr Vologases III] NGC XF

$110NGC XF

Kingdom of Elymais GREEK COINAGE AR Drachm rv bearded head l. NGC VF

$105NGC VF

Hermaeus, c.105-90 BC BACTRIA, INDO-GREEKS AR Tetradrachm NGC F

$105NGC F

Constantius II,AD 337-361 ROMAN EMPIRE AE3/4 (BI Nummus) Epfig Hoard NGC AU

$94NGC AU

Tetricus II, AD 274 ROMANO-GALLIC EMPIRE BI Double-Denarius NGC XF

$94NGC XF

Gallienus, AD 253-268 ROMAN EMPIRE BI Double-Denarius NGC XF

$94NGC XF

Aurelian, AD 270-275 ROMAN EMPIRE BI Double-Denarius NGC XF

$94NGC XF

08 / EV history

$100 Ancient Coins Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $91.52, below the $100 pack price, and has moved down 1.6% over the last 7 days.

0.915xEV ratio

09 / Quick answers

$100 Ancient Coins Pack — quick answers

Is $100 Ancient Coins Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is SKIP (score 25/100). Early read: only 15 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
What is the EV of $100 Ancient Coins Pack?: The calibrated EV is $91.52 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $93.50 across 15 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on $100 Ancient Coins Pack?: 26.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from $100 Ancient Coins Pack?: The median pull is $93.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $126.50.

10 / Pull log

Latest $100 Ancient Coins Pack pulls

Compare $100 Ancient Coins Pack with other Ancient packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.