$100 Ancient Coins Pack vs $250 Ancient Coins Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, $100 Ancient Coins Pack is currently the better value: a 0.848x cash-out ratio against $250 Ancient Coins Pack's 0.769x, across 101 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | $100 Ancient Coins Pack | $250 Ancient Coins Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.32 | $227.14 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.848x | 0.769x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.993x | 0.909x |
| Median pull | $93.50 | $214.50 |
| Hit rate | 21.4% | 12.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 70 | 31 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. $100 Ancient Coins Pack: 202 points from Sep 1 to Sep 18, starting at 0.94x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-9.7%), ranging between 0.78x and 0.94x. $250 Ancient Coins Pack: 197 points from Sep 2 to Sep 18, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+0.8%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.86x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
$100 Ancient Coins Pack vs $250 Ancient Coins Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: $100 Ancient Coins Pack or $250 Ancient Coins Pack?
- $100 Ancient Coins Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.848x vs 0.769x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- $100 Ancient Coins Pack: 21.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. $250 Ancient Coins Pack: 12.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- $250 Ancient Coins Pack has the higher volatility (0.33x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: $100 Ancient Coins Pack EV & verdict · $250 Ancient Coins Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies