
Watches
Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box
Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box is a Courtyard Watches mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $18,307.79 and a typical (median) pull of $18,112.50 across 2 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.
Calibrated EV
$18,308
- Calibrated EV
- $18,308
- Cash-out EV
- $15,488
- Pack price
- Unknown
- Typical pull
- $18,113
- Hit rate
- —
- Lifetime EV
- $18,113
- Pulls indexed
- 2
- Last pull
- 12d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box worth it right now?
- No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box pool
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 2 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 12 days agoFewer than 5 indexed pulls — there is no signal to age yet.
- Newest pull
- 12 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- 0.1/day
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box
No pull names have been indexed for this pack yet, so there is nothing to describe.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box pulls
08 / EV history
Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $18,307.79, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
EV over time: 530 points from Oct 17 to Oct 23, starting at $18,308 and ending at $18,308, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box — quick answers
- Is Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
- What is the EV of Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box?
- The calibrated EV is $18,307.79 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $18,112.50 across 2 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box?
- We cannot say yet. Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 2 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
- What is the typical pull from Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box?
- The median pull is $18,112.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $18,900.00.
10 / Pull log
Latest Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box pulls
Compare Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box with other Watches packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Premier Watch BoxEV $8,850SET PACK PRICE
- Classic Watch Box0.873x cash-out · EV $5,160 · hit rate 14.3%HOUSE EDGE
- $500 Watch BoxEV $643SET PACK PRICE
- Sports Cosmic PackEV $10,535SET PACK PRICE
- Pokémon VIP CosmicEV $8,551SET PACK PRICE
- Baseball Mythic Pack0.906x cash-out · EV $5,354 · hit rate 50.0%HOUSE EDGE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.

