Is Modern Age Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 40 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

What is the EV of Modern Age Pack?

The calibrated EV is $103.22 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $89.15 across 80 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Modern Age Pack?

37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price, and 6.3% returned at least double the price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Modern Age Pack?

The median pull is $89.15 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $304.00.

Independent Comic

Modern Age Pack

Modern Age Pack is a $100 Courtyard Independent Comic mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $103.22, worth $87.32 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.873x (1.032x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 37.5% of 80 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.873x

$87.32 back on a $100 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.032x.

95% range $74.56–$100.09 — that still includes the $100 price, so this edge is inside the noise of the sample.

-12.7% ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 80 pulls (47 effective) · 39dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 40 days ago

Calibrated EV: $103
Cash-out EV: $87
Pack price: $100
Typical pull: $89
Hit rate: 37.5%
Lifetime EV: $105
Pulls indexed: 80
Last pull: 39d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Modern Age Pack worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No new pulls in 40 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

Downside · bottom-quartile rip

−$45

1 in 4 rips returns ≤ $55 cash — covering 55% of the price.

Upside · top-decile rip

+$50

1 in 10 rips returns ≥ $150 cash. Both figures use the observed buyback ratio.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Modern Age Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No new pulls indexed in 39 days — pool state unknown until data resumes.

DATA STALE

No new pulls indexed in 39 days — pool state unknown until data resumes.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

chase tier ≥ $500 · confidence 95%

No chase-tier pulls (≥ $500) observed in the last 30 days.

Removals are facts; what's left is not. Each row is a unique graded card observed leaving this pack, so it is no longer in the pool — though a card can return after a buyback, which is why re-listings are flagged. We show no “chance it remains”: Courtyard publishes pulls, not inventory, so that number would be guesswork. Formula

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 40 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 40 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Modern Age Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1996 to 1996.

Year not stated99%$105 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)1%$125 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Marvel Comics46%$96 avg
DC Comics21%$92 avg
Image Comics11%$110 avg
Image/Skybound6%$201 avg
D.C. Comics3%$101 avg
Dark Horse Comics3%$81 avg
DC/Vertigo Comics3%$186 avg
Image/Top Cow3%$68 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Invincible10%$199 avg
Spawn8%$86 avg
Spider-Man5%$110 avg
Amazing Spider-Man3%$74 avg
Batman3%$90 avg
Infinite Crisis3%$51 avg
Sandman3%$186 avg
Scarlet Witch3%$66 avg

Built from the 80 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Modern Age Pack floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Modern Age Pack, the top 2% of pulls account for 7% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

7% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 79 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

79 paired pulls · 99% bid coverage · confidence 95%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $89.70 — $16.33 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Modern Age Pack odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Across 80 indexed pulls, 37.5% returned at least the $100 pack price and 6.3% returned double or more; the single best recorded pull is $304.

Under $500.0%· stable
$50 – $10062.5%· stable
$100 – $200 · beats the pack31.3%· stable
$200 – $500 · big hit6.3%· stable
$500+ · chase0.0%· stable

Observed across 80 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

06 / Simulator

Modern Age Pack rip simulator

What ripping 1–20 packs looks like, using this pack's actual pull distribution.

Packs to rip5Hoping for

Averaged over

$103.22 per pull

Cost: $500
Expected cash-out: $437
Expected net: -$63
≥1 hit chance: 90.5%

Recent pool: pulls are weighted so newer ones count for more, the same basis as this pack’s headline, verdict and the budget tool. The 80 pulls behind the hit chance are unweighted either way, and the 85% buyback is applied to both. Averages describe many rips — any single rip can land anywhere on the distribution.

Monte Carlo · 10,000 trials

Packs5

P(profit) 27.4%

Mean net −$56

Cost $500

Worst 5%: −$203
Bottom quartile: −$133
Median: −$68
Top quartile: +$8
Best 5%: +$130

Bootstrap resampling of 80 observed pulls with the 85% cash-out applied. Every pull is drawn with equal probability, so this is an all-time average: it will sit below the headline whenever the recent pool has run better than the lifetime one, and above it when the reverse is true. It also assumes the pool doesn't change as you rip — for top-heavy packs the downside is understated once the grail leaves. Estimates, not financial advice.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Modern Age Pack pulls

Invincible #115 CGC 9.8 White Pages (Image/Skybound, 11/14) - Universal

$304CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Invincible #140 CGC 9.8 White Pages (Image/Skybound, 9/17) - Universal

$269CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Invincible #72 CGC 9.8 White Pages (Image Comics, 5/10) - Universal

$260CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Batman Beyond Special Origin Issue #nn CGC 9.8 White Pages (DC Comics, 6/99) - Universal

$218CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Invincible #76 CGC 9.8 White Pages (Image/Skybound, 12/10) - Universal

$203CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Predator #1 CGC 9.8 White Pages (Marvel Comics, 10/22)

$199CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

Uncanny X-Men #266 CGC 9.2 Off-white to White Pages (Marvel Comics, 8/90) - Universal

$198CGC-COMIC 9.2 NM-

Sandman #41 CGC 9.8 White Pages (DC/Vertigo Comics, 9/92) - Universal

$197CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M

08 / EV history

Modern Age Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $103.22, above the $100 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

0.873xCash-out ratio

09 / Quick answers

Modern Age Pack — quick answers

Is Modern Age Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 40 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
What is the EV of Modern Age Pack?: The calibrated EV is $103.22 against a pack price of $100.00, with a typical (median) pull of $89.15 across 80 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Modern Age Pack?: 37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price, and 6.3% returned at least double the price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Modern Age Pack?: The median pull is $89.15 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $304.00.

10 / Pull log