
Football
Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) is a Courtyard Football mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $138.33 and a typical (median) pull of $123.00 across 19 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.
Calibrated EV
$138
- Calibrated EV
- $138
- Cash-out EV
- $120
- Pack price
- Unknown
- Typical pull
- $123
- Hit rate
- —
- Lifetime EV
- $144
- Pulls indexed
- 19
- Last pull
- 46d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) worth it right now?
- No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) pool
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 19 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 47 days agoNo pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.
- Newest pull
- 47 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- none
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
Only 19 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 1976 to 2025.
- Current (2020+)89%$149 avg
- Vintage (pre-2000)11%$100 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Bowman Draft11%$91 avg
- Panini Donruss Optic11%$116 avg
- Topps11%$100 avg
- Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs5%$86 avg
- Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Kings5%$168 avg
- Panini Instant WNBA Draft Night5%$267 avg
- Panini Prizm5%$172 avg
- Panini Select5%$123 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Andre Dawson5%$76 avg
- Brock Bowers5%$100 avg
- Caleb Williams5%$277 avg
- Christian Pulisic5%$112 avg
- Colt Emerson5%$101 avg
- Colton Cowser5%$190 avg
- Cutter Gauthier5%$292 avg
- Drake Maye5%$172 avg
Built from the 19 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) pulls

2024 Upper Deck #212 Cutter Gauthier (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Topps Chrome #202 Caleb Williams - Magenta Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Instant WNBA Draft Night #DN8 Nika Muhl - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire Chrome Sapphire Autographs #CSACC Colton Cowser - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Kings #10 Jonathon Brooks (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Donruss Optic #248 Jayden Daniels - Purple Scope (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1976 Topps #384 Phillies Team (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
08 / EV history
Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $138.33, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
EV over time: 551 points from Sep 12 to Sep 18, starting at $138 and ending at $138, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) — quick answers
- Is Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
- What is the EV of Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- The calibrated EV is $138.33 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $123.00 across 19 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- We cannot say yet. Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 19 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
- What is the typical pull from Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)?
- The median pull is $123.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $292.00.
10 / Pull log
Latest Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) pulls
2020 Panini Select #346 Joe Burrow - Die-Cut Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$123.0046d ago
2024 Bowman Draft #BD56 Nick Kurtz (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$81.8047d ago
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAMJ Mitch Jebb - Blue Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$86.1047d ago
2020 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Sapphire Edition #61 Pedri (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$107.0047d ago
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions Specimen #S2 Erling Haaland (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$114.0048d ago
2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire Chrome Sapphire Autographs #CSACC Colton Cowser - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$190.2048d ago
1990 Topps #140 Andre Dawson (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$75.8049d ago
2024 Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Kings #10 Jonathon Brooks (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$168.0049d ago
2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$172.0049d ago
2023 Topps Chrome Rookie Autograph #RANJ Nolan Jones - Gold Wave Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$124.9049d ago
2021 Upper Deck Ice 2020-21 #70 Kirill Kaprizov - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$85.0049d ago
2024 Upper Deck #212 Cutter Gauthier (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$292.0050d ago
2024 Panini Donruss Optic #215 Brock Bowers - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$100.0050d ago
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions Merlin's Gamers #MG31 Christian Pulisic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$111.7050d ago
2023 Bowman Draft #BDC42 Colt Emerson - Chrome-Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$101.0051d ago
2024 Topps Chrome #202 Caleb Williams - Magenta Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$277.0051d ago
2024 Panini Instant WNBA Draft Night #DN8 Nika Muhl - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$267.0051d ago
1976 Topps #384 Phillies Team (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$125.0052d ago
2024 Panini Donruss Optic #248 Jayden Daniels - Purple Scope (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$132.0054d ago
Compare Sports PSA 10 (Spicy) with other Football packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Football Legend Pack0.732x cash-out · EV $2,162 · hit rate 33.3%HOUSE EDGE
- Sports Legend PackEV $2,280SET PACK PRICE
- Football Diamond PackEV $1,077SET PACK PRICE
- Wildcard GhostEV $1,037SET PACK PRICE
- Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)EV $536SET PACK PRICE
- Football Platinum Pack0.869x cash-out · EV $494 · hit rate 40.0%HOUSE EDGE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.