Is Football Diamond Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Football Diamond Pack?

The calibrated EV is $1,077.32 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $921.40 across 13 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Football Diamond Pack?

We cannot say yet. Football Diamond Pack has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 13 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Football Diamond Pack?

The median pull is $921.40 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $3,307.50.

Football

Football Diamond Pack

Football Diamond Pack is a Courtyard Football mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $1,077.32 and a typical (median) pull of $921.40 across 13 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$1,077

— ROI

EMERGING · 13 pulls · 1dSIGNAL Stale · 43 h ago

Calibrated EV: $1,077
Cash-out EV: $911
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $921
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $1,169
Pulls indexed: 13
Last pull: 1d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Football Diamond Pack worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Football Diamond Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 13 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Stale · 43 h ago

No new pulls for well past this pack's usual gap (typically 13 h). It may be paused, sold out, or no longer indexed. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 6.9 days.

Newest pull: 43 h; observed
Pull rate: 1.9/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 13; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Football Diamond Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 13 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 2016 to 2024.

Current (2020+)92%$991 avg
Modern (2010-2019)8%$3,308 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Panini Donruss Downtown!15%$745 avg
Panini Prizm15%$784 avg
Panini Absolute Kaboom!8%$947 avg
Panini Donruss Downtown8%$948 avg
Panini Donruss Optic8%$757 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown8%$941 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Legends8%$707 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown!8%$921 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Aidan O'Connell8%$828 avg
Brock Bowers8%$752 avg
Derrick Henry8%$3,308 avg
Drake Maye8%$931 avg
Emmitt Smith8%$947 avg
Hendon Hooker8%$757 avg
Jayden Daniels8%$738 avg
Justin Herbert8%$739 avg

Built from the 13 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Football Diamond Pack pulls

2016 Rookies and Stars Rookie Longevity Signatures Gold #29 Derrick Henry (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

$3,308BGS 9.5 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Prizm Color Blast #23 Saquon Barkley (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$2,682PSA 10 GEM MINT

2022 Panini Donruss Downtown #DTMW Malik Willis (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$948PSA 10 GEM MINT

2021 Panini Absolute Kaboom! #K7 Emmitt Smith (PSA 9 MINT)

$947PSA 9 MINT

2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT6 Lamar Jackson (PSA 9 MINT)

$941PSA 9 MINT

2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome Planetary Pursuit #DM Drake Maye - Saturn (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$931PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #18 Malik Nabers (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$921PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Panini Prizm #360 Aidan O'Connell - Gold Wave (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$828PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Football Diamond Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $1,077.32, and has moved down 67.4% over the last 7 days.

$1077.32EV

09 / Quick answers

Football Diamond Pack — quick answers

Is Football Diamond Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Football Diamond Pack?: The calibrated EV is $1,077.32 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $921.40 across 13 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Football Diamond Pack?: We cannot say yet. Football Diamond Pack has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 13 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Football Diamond Pack?: The median pull is $921.40 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $3,307.50.

10 / Pull log

Latest Football Diamond Pack pulls

Compare Football Diamond Pack with other Football packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.