Is Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?

The calibrated EV is $535.92 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $408.80 across 21 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?

We cannot say yet. Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 21 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?

The median pull is $408.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $1,108.90.

Football

Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)

Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) is a Courtyard Football mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $535.92 and a typical (median) pull of $408.80 across 21 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$536

— ROI

EMERGING · 21 pulls · todaySIGNAL Active · 16 h ago

Calibrated EV: $536
Cash-out EV: $453
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $409
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $535
Pulls indexed: 21
Last pull: 15h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 21 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Active · 16 h ago

Current, with pulls still arriving at the usual rate.

Newest pull: 16 h; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 21; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 21 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 2018 to 2025.

Current (2020+)95%$529 avg
Modern (2010-2019)5%$652 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Panini Donruss Downtown!19%$780 avg
Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal10%$797 avg
Panini Donruss Downtown10%$309 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns10%$470 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown5%$303 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos5%$492 avg
Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Legends5%$409 avg
Panini Mosaic Micro Mosaic5%$433 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Aaron Judge5%$345 avg
Ausar Thompson5%$405 avg
Bijan Robinson5%$602 avg
Brock Bowers5%$383 avg
Bryce Young5%$1,002 avg
Caleb Williams5%$592 avg
Cam Ward5%$433 avg
CJ Stroud/Stefon Diggs5%$492 avg

Built from the 21 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) pulls

2025 Panini Donruss Downtown! #14 Jaxson Dart (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

$1,109BGS 9.5 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #13 Drake Maye (PSA 9 MINT)

$1,025PSA 9 MINT

2023 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #12 Bryce Young (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$1,002PSA 10 GEM MINT

2022 Panini One and One Downtown #11 Donovan Mitchell (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$991PSA 10 GEM MINT

2018 Panini Select #142 Trae Young - Zebra Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$652PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Panini Donruss Downtown! #D10 Bijan Robinson (PSA 9 MINT)

$602PSA 9 MINT

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #1 Caleb Williams (PSA 9 MINT)

$592PSA 9 MINT

2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #15 Matthew Stafford (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$592PSA 8 NM-MT

08 / EV history

Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $535.92, and has moved down 5.4% over the last 7 days.

$535.92EV

09 / Quick answers

Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) — quick answers

Is Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?: The calibrated EV is $535.92 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $408.80 across 21 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?: We cannot say yet. Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 21 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)?: The median pull is $408.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $1,108.90.

10 / Pull log