Football
Football Legend Pack
Football Legend Pack is a $2,500 Courtyard Football mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $3,083.27, worth $2,608.45 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 1.043x (1.233x at sticker FMV), so it currently pays out more than it costs on average, after Courtyard's buyback haircut (+EV). 50.0% of 2 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.
Ranked #8 of 129 tracked packs by cash-out ratio, #1 of 16 Football packs.
This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.
Cash-out ratio
1.043x
$2,608.45 back on a $2,500 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.233x.
- Calibrated EV
- $3,083
- Cash-out EV
- $2,608
- Pack price
- $2,500
- Typical pull
- $2,729
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Lifetime EV
- $2,729
- Pulls indexed
- 2
- Last pull
- 11d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Football Legend Pack worth it right now?
- Only 2 indexed pulls — below the 5-pull floor for any read at all.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Football Legend Pack pool
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Only 2 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 2 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Invalidated · 12 days agoRe-check before acting: the price moved after the newest pull we indexed.
The pack price changed after the most recent pull, so every EV-vs-price call here predates the current ticket.
- Newest pull
- 12 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- 0.1/day
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Football Legend Pack
Only 2 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 2020 to 2020.
- Current (2020+)100%$2,729 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Panini Contenders Optic 2000 Contenders Throwback Rookie Autographs50%$2,040 avg
- Panini Prizm50%$3,418 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Justin Herbert50%$3,418 avg
- Tua Tagovailoa50%$2,040 avg
Built from the 2 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Football Legend Pack pulls
08 / EV history
Football Legend Pack EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $3,083.27, above the $2,500 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
EV ratio over time: 73 points from Sep 4 to Sep 10, starting at 1.23x and ending at 1.23x, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Football Legend Pack — quick answers
- Is Football Legend Pack worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Only 2 indexed pulls — below the 5-pull floor for any read at all.
- What is the EV of Football Legend Pack?
- The calibrated EV is $3,083.27 against a pack price of $2,500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $2,729.00 across 2 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Football Legend Pack?
- 50.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
- What is the typical pull from Football Legend Pack?
- The median pull is $2,729.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $3,418.00.
10 / Pull log
Latest Football Legend Pack pulls
Compare Football Legend Pack with other Football packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Wildcard GhostEV $1,037SET PACK PRICE
- Football Platinum Pack0.703x cash-out · EV $416 · hit rate 33.3%HOUSE EDGE
- Sports Platinum Pack0.677x cash-out · EV $400 · hit rate 0.0%HOUSE EDGE
- Football Ultra Pack0.703x cash-out · EV $208 · hit rate 12.5%HOUSE EDGE
- Bussin’ With The Boys National PackEV $222SET PACK PRICE
- Football: Round 3 (Spicy)EV $153SET PACK PRICE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.