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Football Legend Pack vs Football Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.122x cash-out ratio against Football Legend Pack's 0.914x, across 87 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Legend PackFootball Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$2700.46$651.56
Cash-out ratio0.914x1.122x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.080x1.303x
Median pull$2115.00$427.40
Hit rate33.3%30.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.35x0.54x
Pulls indexed681

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Legend Pack: 693 points from Aug 22 to Oct 23, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+32.5%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.14x. Football Platinum Pack: 842 points from Aug 6 to Oct 23, starting at 0.64x and ending at 1.12x, up overall (+75.3%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.14x.

Football Legend PackFootball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Legend Pack vs Football Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Legend Pack or Football Platinum Pack?
Football Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.122x vs 0.914x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Legend Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Platinum Pack: 30.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.54x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Legend Pack EV & verdict · Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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