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Football Legend Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 0.914x cash-out ratio against Sports Platinum Pack's 0.846x, across 40 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Legend PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$2700.46$494.87
Cash-out ratio0.914x0.846x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.080x0.990x
Median pull$2115.00$434.75
Hit rate33.3%32.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.35x0.38x
Pulls indexed634

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Legend Pack: 700 points from Aug 22 to Oct 25, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+32.5%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.14x. Sports Platinum Pack: 827 points from Aug 8 to Oct 25, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+23.1%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.20x.

Football Legend PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Legend Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Legend Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Football Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.914x vs 0.846x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Legend Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 32.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Legend Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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