Football Legend Pack vs Football Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 0.914x cash-out ratio against Football Ultra Pack's 0.841x, across 183 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Legend Pack | Football Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $2700.46 | $248.58 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.914x | 0.841x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.080x | 0.994x |
| Median pull | $2115.00 | $214.50 |
| Hit rate | 33.3% | 26.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.35x | 0.66x |
| Pulls indexed | 6 | 177 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Legend Pack: 685 points from Aug 22 to Oct 23, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+32.5%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.14x. Football Ultra Pack: 966 points from Jul 17 to Oct 23, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-28.4%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.39x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Legend Pack vs Football Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Legend Pack or Football Ultra Pack?
- Football Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.914x vs 0.841x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Legend Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Ultra Pack: 26.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.66x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Legend Pack EV & verdict · Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies