Is Gengar's Game Night 3 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Gengar's Game Night 3?

The calibrated EV is $110.67 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $73.70 across 484 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Gengar's Game Night 3?

We cannot say yet. Gengar's Game Night 3 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 484 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Gengar's Game Night 3?

The median pull is $73.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $1,599.90.

Pokémon

Gengar's Game Night 3

Gengar's Game Night 3 is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $110.67 and a typical (median) pull of $73.70 across 484 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$111

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 484 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 1.5 h ago

Calibrated EV: $111
Cash-out EV: $94
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $74
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $111
Pulls indexed: 484
Last pull: 1h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Gengar's Game Night 3 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Gengar's Game Night 3 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 1.5 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 2.2 days.

Newest pull: 1.5 h; observed
Pull rate: 220.2/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 484; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Gengar's Game Night 3

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1996 to 2026.

Current (2020+)75%$98 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)10%$151 avg
Modern (2010-2019)10%$149 avg
Retro (2000-2009)6%$144 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes4%$185 avg
Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX4%$70 avg
Pokémon Svp EN-SV Black Star Promo4%$122 avg
Pokémon Game4%$157 avg
Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero4%$52 avg
Pokémon M-P Promo3%$50 avg
Pokémon Simplified Cs5a C-Gallant Galaxy: Charm3%$59 avg
Pokémon SV9-Battle Partners3%$50 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 99% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Pikachu4%$94 avg
Mega Gengar EX4%$135 avg
Eevee3%$105 avg
Oricorio EX3%$61 avg
Charmander3%$82 avg
Fuecoco3%$50 avg
Articuno3%$50 avg
Mega Zygarde EX2%$50 avg

Built from the 484 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Gengar's Game Night 3 floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Gengar's Game Night 3, the top 2% of pulls account for 9% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

9% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 481 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

481 paired pulls · 99% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $93.77 — $17.07 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Gengar's Game Night 3 odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $370.0%· stable
$37 – $7450.0%· stable
$74 – $147 · beats the pack26.0%· stable
$147 – $368 · big hit22.7%· stable
$368+ · chase1.2%· stable

Observed across 484 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Gengar's Game Night 3 pulls

2026 Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes #284 Mega Gengar EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$1,600PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Scarlet & Violet 151 - MEW EN #199/165 Charizard ex - Special Illustration Rare (Holo) (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$507CGC 10 GEM MINT

2020 Pokémon Sword & Shield Champion's Path #079 Charizard V - Holo Full Art Secret (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$418PSA 10 GEM MINT

2019 Pokémon SM Black Star Promo #SM210 Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX - Holo Full Art Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$382PSA 10 GEM MINT

1999 Pokémon Game #1 Alakazam - Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

$381PSA 9 MINT

2025 Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX #250 Mega Dragonite EX - Holo Mega Ultra Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$380PSA 10 GEM MINT

1999 Pokémon Game #72 Devolution Spray (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$350PSA 10 GEM MINT

1997 Rocket Gang #6 Dark Charizard - Holo (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

$350BGS 8.5 NM-MT+

08 / EV history

Gengar's Game Night 3 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $110.67, and has moved up 10.8% over the last 7 days.

$110.67EV

09 / Quick answers

Gengar's Game Night 3 — quick answers

Is Gengar's Game Night 3 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Gengar's Game Night 3?: The calibrated EV is $110.67 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $73.70 across 484 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Gengar's Game Night 3?: We cannot say yet. Gengar's Game Night 3 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 484 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Gengar's Game Night 3?: The median pull is $73.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $1,599.90.

10 / Pull log