Is Pokémon Water & Grass worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Pokémon Water & Grass?

The calibrated EV is $69.04 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $60.80 across 58 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Water & Grass?

We cannot say yet. Pokémon Water & Grass has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 58 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon Water & Grass?

The median pull is $60.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $146.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon Water & Grass

Pokémon Water & Grass is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $69.04 and a typical (median) pull of $60.80 across 58 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$69

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 58 pulls · 39dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 40 days ago

Calibrated EV: $69
Cash-out EV: $58
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $61
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $70
Pulls indexed: 58
Last pull: 39d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon Water & Grass worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon Water & Grass pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 40 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 40 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Pokémon Water & Grass

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1998 to 2026.

Current (2020+)81%$67 avg
Retro (2000-2009)7%$68 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)7%$103 avg
Modern (2010-2019)5%$81 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon M1l-Mega Brave7%$57 avg
Pokémon SV6-Transformation Mask7%$49 avg
Black Star Promos - Mega Evolution MEP EN5%$59 avg
Pokémon Meg EN-Mega Evolution5%$73 avg
Pokémon Sv11w-White Flare5%$64 avg
Trading Card Game Classic - CLV, CLC, CLB5%$60 avg
Pokémon Clf-Trading Card Game Classic Venusaur & Lugia EX Deck3%$59 avg
Pokémon Clk-Trading Card Game Classic Blastoise & Suicune EX Deck3%$64 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 98% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Bulbasaur9%$58 avg
Piplup7%$61 avg
Tatsugiri7%$49 avg
Basculin5%$64 avg
Blastoise5%$58 avg
Venusaur EX5%$101 avg
Exeggutor4%$63 avg
Ivysaur4%$79 avg

Built from the 58 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Pokémon Water & Grass floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Pokémon Water & Grass, the top 2% of pulls account for 7% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

7% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 57 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

57 paired pulls · 98% bid coverage · confidence 88%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $59.65 — $10.86 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Pokémon Water & Grass odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $300.0%· stable
$30 – $6148.3%· stable
$61 – $122 · beats the pack41.4%· stable
$122 – $304 · big hit10.3%· stable
$304+ · chase0.0%· stable

Observed across 58 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon Water & Grass pulls

1999 Pokémon Fossil #10 Lapras - 1st Edition Holo (PSA 7 NM)

$146PSA 7 NM

1998 Pokémon Tamamushi City Gym Deck #69 Erika's Bellsprout - LV.15 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$132PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Pokémon Sv8a-Terastal Fest EX #200 Leafeon EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$131PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Sv2a-Pokémon Card 151 #200 Venusaur EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 9 MINT)

$128PSA 9 MINT

2025 Pokémon Sv9a-Heat Wave Arena #071 Misty's Psyduck - Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$127PSA 10 GEM MINT

2018 Pokémon Sun & Moon Dragon Storm #015 Magikarp (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$122PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Mew EN-151 #198 Venusaur EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 9 MINT)

$118PSA 9 MINT

2026 Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero #111 Mega Starmie EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$100PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Pokémon Water & Grass EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $69.04, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

$69.04EV

09 / Quick answers

Pokémon Water & Grass — quick answers

Is Pokémon Water & Grass worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Pokémon Water & Grass?: The calibrated EV is $69.04 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $60.80 across 58 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Water & Grass?: We cannot say yet. Pokémon Water & Grass has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 58 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon Water & Grass?: The median pull is $60.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $146.00.

10 / Pull log