Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?

The calibrated EV is $72.44 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $51.00 across 69 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?

100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?

The median pull is $51.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $392.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $72.44 and a typical (median) pull of $51.00 across 69 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Ranked #49 of 68 tracked packs by EV ratio, #17 of 22 Pokémon packs.

Calibrated EV

$72

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE· 69 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · just now

Lifetime EV: $72
Cash-out EV: $62
Typical pull: $51
Pack price: Unknown
Hit rate: —
Pulls indexed: 69
Last pull: 52m ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · just now

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 2.0 days.

Newest pull: 52 min; observed
Pull rate: 33.9/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 69; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Floor safety

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3, the top 2% of pulls account for 15% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

15% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls — the average EV is a fair picture of a typical rip.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across offers we've indexed, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — below the advertised ~90%, so FMV is not your exit price. Every number in our verdicts already uses this haircut.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

68 paired pulls · 99% bid coverage · confidence 92%

Instant-selling a typical pull here returns $61.72 — $11.07 below sticker FMV (15.2% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not an assumed 90%.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

04 / Observed odds

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it reflects the pool as it drains — posted odds can't do that.

Under $260.0%· stable
$26 – $5149.3%▲ 0.7pt · 48h
$51 – $102 · beats the pack31.9%· stable
$102 – $255 · big hit15.9%▼ 0.9pt · 48h
$255+ · chase2.9%· stable

Observed across 69 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means the good cards are leaving the pool.

06 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 pulls

2007 Pokémon Promo #046 Darkrai - Holo 10th Pokemon Movie (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$392PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Obf EN-Obsidian Flames #202 Cleffa - Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$367PSA 10 GEM MINT

2000 Pokémon Trainer Promo Lucky Stadium Kanto (PSA 9 MINT)

$178PSA 9 MINT

1999 Pokémon Yamabuki City Gym Deck #63 Sabrina's Abra - LV.18 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$171PSA 10 GEM MINT

1998 Pokémon Vending #64 Kadabra - Series III (PSA 9 MINT)

$150PSA 9 MINT

2000 Pokémon Gym Heroes #18 Misty - Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

$136PSA 9 MINT

2025 Pokémon Jtg EN-Journey Together #186 Hop's Zacian EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$134PSA 10 GEM MINT

2021 Pokémon Sword & Shield Eevee Heroes #084 Umbreon V - Holo Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$118PSA 10 GEM MINT

07 / EV history

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $72.44, and has moved up 3.1% over the last 7 days.

$72.44EV

08 / Quick answers

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 — quick answers

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.
What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?: The calibrated EV is $72.44 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $51.00 across 69 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?: 100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3?: The median pull is $51.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $392.00.

09 / Pull log