Is Chase the Chu worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Chase the Chu?

The calibrated EV is $81.66 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $66.80 across 85 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Chase the Chu?

We cannot say yet. Chase the Chu has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 85 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Chase the Chu?

The median pull is $66.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $585.40.

Pokémon

Chase the Chu

Chase the Chu is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $81.66 and a typical (median) pull of $66.80 across 85 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$82

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 85 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · just now

Calibrated EV: $82
Cash-out EV: $69
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $67
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $82
Pulls indexed: 85
Last pull: 19m ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Chase the Chu worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Chase the Chu pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · just now

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 34 min; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 81; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Chase the Chu

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1998 to 2026.

Current (2020+)70%$84 avg
Modern (2010-2019)14%$89 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)10%$68 avg
Retro (2000-2009)5%$65 avg
Year not stated1%$56 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon Sv2a-Pokémon Card 1516%$77 avg
Pokémon SV-P Promo5%$73 avg
Pokémon Svp EN-SV Black Star Promo4%$69 avg
Pokémon Sword and Shield Crown Zenith4%$61 avg
Black Bolt - BLK EN2%$62 avg
High Class Pack: Terastal Fest ex - sv8a2%$88 avg
Jungle2%$72 avg
Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes2%$75 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 99% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Pikachu11%$69 avg
Bulbasaur3%$71 avg
Leafeon EX3%$175 avg
Mimikyu3%$75 avg
Psyduck3%$74 avg
Raticate3%$56 avg
Aerodactyl1%$57 avg
Articuno1%$59 avg

Built from the 81 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Chase the Chu floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Chase the Chu, the top 2% of pulls account for 13% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

13% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 82 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

78 paired pulls · 96% bid coverage · confidence 95%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $69.33 — $12.62 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Chase the Chu odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $340.0%· stable
$34 – $6849.4%· stable
$68 – $137 · beats the pack45.7%· stable
$137 – $342 · big hit3.7%· stable
$342+ · chase1.2%· stable

Observed across 81 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Chase the Chu pulls

2025 Pokémon Pre EN-Prismatic Evolutions #153 Jolteon EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$585PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Pokémon Pre EN-Prismatic Evolutions #144 Leafeon EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 9 MINT)

$241PSA 9 MINT

2017 Shining Legends #42/73 Shining Jirachi - Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$149CGC 10 GEM MINT

2016 Expansion Pack 20th Anniversary #015/087 Ninetales - 1st Edition Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$148CGC 10 PRISTINE

2024 Pokémon Sv8a-Terastal Fest EX #200 Leafeon EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$110PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 High Class Pack: Terastal Fest ex - sv8a #212/187 Sylveon ex - Special Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$109CGC 10 GEM MINT

2024 Pokémon Simplified Cs5a C-Gallant Galaxy: Charm #003 Charizard (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$108PSA 10 GEM MINT

2016 Pokémon SM Promo #001 Snorlax GX - Holo Sun & Moon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$108PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Chase the Chu EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $81.66, and has moved up 1.5% over the last 7 days.

$81.61EV

09 / Quick answers

Chase the Chu — quick answers

Is Chase the Chu worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Chase the Chu?: The calibrated EV is $81.66 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $66.80 across 85 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Chase the Chu?: We cannot say yet. Chase the Chu has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 85 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Chase the Chu?: The median pull is $66.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $585.40.

10 / Pull log