
Baseball
Sports City Series
Sports City Series is a Courtyard Baseball mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $220.18 and a typical (median) pull of $164.00 across 101 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.
Calibrated EV
$220
- Calibrated EV
- $220
- Cash-out EV
- $195
- Pack price
- Unknown
- Typical pull
- $164
- Hit rate
- —
- Lifetime EV
- $213
- Pulls indexed
- 101
- Last pull
- 39d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Sports City Series worth it right now?
- No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Sports City Series pool
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 39 days agoNo pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.
- Newest pull
- 39 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- none
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Sports City Series
By era
Cards seen range from 1953 to 2025.
- Vintage (pre-2000)45%$235 avg
- Current (2020+)40%$191 avg
- Modern (2010-2019)13%$224 avg
- Retro (2000-2009)3%$143 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Topps28%$212 avg
- Panini Donruss Optic5%$99 avg
- Panini Prizm5%$176 avg
- Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani4%$121 avg
- Topps Chrome4%$102 avg
- Upper Deck4%$206 avg
- Fleer3%$158 avg
- Panini Donruss3%$141 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on 98% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.
- Shohei Ohtani9%$227 avg
- Michael Jordan7%$343 avg
- Anthony Volpe4%$185 avg
- Mickey Mantle4%$382 avg
- Drake Maye3%$92 avg
- Justin Fields3%$247 avg
- LeBron James3%$80 avg
- Breece Hall2%$204 avg
Built from the 101 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
04 / Floor safety
Sports City Series floor safety & buyback reality
In Sports City Series, the top 2% of pulls account for 14% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 87% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.
Floor safety
low dilution14% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.
Buyback reality
88.4% of FMV observedAcross 99 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $88 if you instant-sell — better than the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.
Measured per card rather than per dollar the ratio is 87.1% — higher because cheaper cards draw proportionally better offers. That one describes a single card; the 88.4% above describes a basket, which is what an expected value needs.
Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.
Net exit value
99 paired pulls · 98% bid coverage · confidence 100%Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $190.64 — $25.02 below sticker FMV (11.6% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.
Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.
Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works
05 / Observed odds
Sports City Series odds — observed, not posted
- Under $82
- $82 – $164
- $164 – $328 · beats the pack
- $328 – $820 · big hit
- $820+ · chase
Observed across 101 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Sports City Series pulls

1997 Metal Universe #23 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)

1965 Topps #350 Mickey Mantle (PSA 4 VG-EX)

2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire Sapphire Selections Autographs #SSAJD Jasson Dominguez - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1967 Topps #118 Bobby Orr - Calder Memorial Trophy (PSA 6 EX-MT)

1993 Finest #30 Bernie Williams - Refractor (PSA 8 NM-MT)

2022 Panini Prizm Stained Glass #SG3 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Topps Update #US1 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #26 Garrett Wilson (PSA 9 MINT)
08 / EV history
Sports City Series EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $220.18, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
EV over time: 552 points from Sep 12 to Sep 18, starting at $220 and ending at $220, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Sports City Series — quick answers
- Is Sports City Series worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
- What is the EV of Sports City Series?
- The calibrated EV is $220.18 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $164.00 across 101 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Sports City Series?
- We cannot say yet. Sports City Series has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 101 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
- What is the typical pull from Sports City Series?
- The median pull is $164.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $1,174.00.
10 / Pull log
Latest Sports City Series pulls
1956 Topps #130 Willie Mays - Gray Back (PSA 1 PR)$178.0039d ago
1996 Topps Chrome #73 Nomar Garciaparra - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)$164.0039d ago
1986 Fleer #131 James Worthy (PSA 8.5 NM-MT+)$243.4039d ago
1959 Topps #202 Roger Maris - White Back (PSA 4 VG-EX)$86.6039d ago
1961 Topps #344 Sandy Koufax (PSA 5 EX)$163.0039d ago
1958 Topps #5 Willie Mays (PSA 3 VG)$183.0039d ago
2022 Panini Prizm Stained Glass #SG3 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$566.6039d ago
1997 Metal Universe #23 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)$1,174.0040d ago
2025 Topps Chrome #127 LeBron James - X-Fractor (PSA 9 MINT)$77.0040d ago
2025 Topps Chrome #127 LeBron James - X-Fractor (PSA 9 MINT)$77.0040d ago
2024 Upper Deck #493 Brandon Bussi (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$269.6040d ago
1980 O-Pee-Chee #140 Ray Bourque (PSA 7 NM)$201.0040d ago
2023 Panini Donruss Optic #216 Tyson Bagent - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$167.0041d ago
1991 Upper Deck Promos #1 Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)$129.0041d ago
1967 Topps #150 Mickey Mantle (PSA 1 PR)$178.0041d ago
2022 Panini Donruss Bomb Squad #BS8 Mike Trout - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$229.3041d ago
2016 Panini Donruss Optic #172 Jared Goff - Bronze (PSA 9 MINT)$75.0041d ago
1999 Upper Deck MVP #182 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$157.0041d ago
1989 Hoops #200 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$517.0041d ago
2025 Topps Chrome #1 Shohei Ohtani - X-Fractor (PSA 9 MINT)$91.9041d ago
2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects #CPA-BJ Blaze Jordan - Auto. Refractor (SGC 10 GEM MINT)$168.3041d ago
2025 Topps Now #621 Shohei Ohtani (BGS 10 BLACK LABEL)$276.0041d ago
1983 Donruss #586 Wade Boggs (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$208.0041d ago
2024 Panini Donruss #327 Caleb Williams - Optic Preview-Red Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$234.0041d ago
1965 Topps #350 Mickey Mantle (PSA 4 VG-EX)$938.0041d ago- Free shows the latest 25 pulls. Pro unlocks the full history + CSV export →
Compare Sports City Series with other Baseball packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Baseball Mythic Pack0.924x cash-out · EV $5,460 · hit rate 40.0%NEAR BREAK-EVEN
- Baseball Legend Pack0.745x cash-out · EV $2,202 · hit rate 0.0%HOUSE EDGE
- Sports VIP (Spicy)EV $1,424SET PACK PRICE
- Wildcard InfernoEV $1,100SET PACK PRICE
- Baseball Diamond Pack1.014x cash-out · EV $1,199 · hit rate 40.0%+EV
- Sports Diamond PackEV $982SET PACK PRICE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.