Is Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?

The calibrated EV is $107.15 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $81.70 across 97 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?

We cannot say yet. Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 97 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?

The median pull is $81.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $520.70.

Hockey

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) is a Courtyard Hockey mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $107.15 and a typical (median) pull of $81.70 across 97 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$107

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 97 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · just now

Calibrated EV: $107
Cash-out EV: $91
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $82
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $107
Pulls indexed: 97
Last pull: 2m ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · just now

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 29 min; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 93; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1972 to 2025.

Current (2020+)49%$117 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)30%$83 avg
Modern (2010-2019)14%$142 avg
Retro (2000-2009)6%$89 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Upper Deck42%$120 avg
Upper Deck UD Canvas8%$81 avg
Upper Deck O-Pee-Chee Platinum5%$88 avg
Score4%$70 avg
SP Authentic4%$192 avg
Topps3%$59 avg
Bowman U Now2%$150 avg
O-Pee-Chee2%$89 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Peter Forsberg6%$91 avg
Jaromir Jagr5%$72 avg
Matthew Schaefer5%$112 avg
Connor Bedard4%$93 avg
Checklist 1-1763%$59 avg
Cole Caufield3%$96 avg
Dominik Hasek3%$75 avg
Jeremy Roenick3%$82 avg

Built from the 93 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy), the top 2% of pulls account for 9% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

9% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 93 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

90 paired pulls · 97% bid coverage · confidence 98%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $88.73 — $16.15 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $410.0%· stable
$41 – $8248.4%· stable
$82 – $163 · beats the pack37.6%· stable
$163 – $409 · big hit12.9%· stable
$409+ · chase1.1%· stable

Observed across 93 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) pulls

2025 Upper Deck #205 Ivan Demidov (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$521PSA 10 GEM MINT

2017 SP Authentic #169 Tage Thompson - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$337PSA 10 GEM MINT

2009 Upper Deck #210 Erik Karlsson (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$226PSA 10 GEM MINT

2010 SP Authentic #301 Tyler Seguin - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$223PSA 10 GEM MINT

1996 Upper Deck #384 Patrick Marleau (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$217PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Upper Deck Young Guns Renewed #YGR49 Nathan MacKinnon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$194PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Upper Deck Young Guns Renewed #YGR10 Sidney Crosby (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$193PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Upper Deck O-Pee-Chee Glossy #OG-28 Matthew Schaefer - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$182PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $107.15, and has moved up 14.6% over the last 7 days.

$110.01EV

09 / Quick answers

Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) — quick answers

Is Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?: The calibrated EV is $107.15 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $81.70 across 97 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?: We cannot say yet. Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy) has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 97 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)?: The median pull is $81.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $520.70.

10 / Pull log