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Gengar's Game: Gold Edition

Pokémon

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $569.24 and a typical (median) pull of $406.25 across 48 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$569

— ROI
LOW CONFIDENCE · 48 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 1.6 h ago
Calibrated EV
$569
Cash-out EV
$518
Pack price
Unknown
Typical pull
$406
Hit rate
—
Lifetime EV
$570
Pulls indexed
48
Last pull
1h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Gengar's Game: Gold Edition worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA
  • No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Gengar's Game: Gold Edition pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 1.6 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull
1.6 h
observed
Pull rate
too soon
observed
Pulls, 7d
48
observed
Half-life
Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Gengar's Game: Gold Edition

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1999 to 2026.

  • Current (2020+)54%$407 avg
  • Modern (2010-2019)19%$703 avg
  • Retro (2000-2009)15%$973 avg
  • Vintage (pre-2000)13%$602 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

  • Pokémon Game6%$613 avg
  • Pokémon Sword & Shield Brilliant Stars6%$265 avg
  • Pokémon Dri EN-Destined Rivals4%$332 avg
  • Pokémon Mew EN-1514%$311 avg
  • Pokémon Rocket4%$428 avg
  • Pokémon Scr EN-Stellar Crown4%$299 avg
  • Pokémon Sfa EN-Shrouded Fable4%$254 avg
  • Pokémon Sun & Moon Cosmic Eclipse4%$1,174 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

  • Charizard V6%$309 avg
  • Bulbasaur4%$571 avg
  • Charizard4%$385 avg
  • Persian4%$254 avg
  • Arceus & Dialga & Palkia GX2%$256 avg
  • Celebi V2%$337 avg
  • Cleffa2%$390 avg
  • Cynthia's Garchomp EX2%$364 avg

Built from the 48 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Gengar's Game: Gold Edition, the top 2% of pulls account for 13% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 92% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

13% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

91.1% of FMV observed

Across 48 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $91 if you instant-sell — better than the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Measured per card rather than per dollar the ratio is 92.2% — higher because cheaper cards draw proportionally better offers. That one describes a single card; the 91.1% above describes a basket, which is what an expected value needs.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

48 paired pulls · 100% bid coverage · confidence 84%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $518.86 — $50.83 below sticker FMV (8.9% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.
  • Under $203
  • $203 – $406
  • $406 – $813 · beats the pack
  • $813 – $2,031 · big hit
  • $2,031+ · chase

Observed across 48 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Gengar's Game: Gold Edition pulls

08 / EV history

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $569.24, and has moved up 8.8% over the last 7 days.

$569.24EV

EV over time: 69 points from Oct 23 to Oct 23, starting at $531 and ending at $569, up overall (+7.2%), ranging between $424 and $663.

09 / Quick answers

Gengar's Game: Gold Edition — quick answers

Is Gengar's Game: Gold Edition worth buying right now?
Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Gengar's Game: Gold Edition?
The calibrated EV is $569.24 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $406.25 across 48 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Gengar's Game: Gold Edition?
We cannot say yet. Gengar's Game: Gold Edition has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 48 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Gengar's Game: Gold Edition?
The median pull is $406.25 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $3,534.10.

10 / Pull log

Latest Gengar's Game: Gold Edition pulls

Compare Gengar's Game: Gold Edition with other Pokémon packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.

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