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Wildcard Platinum Pack

Shipwreck

Wildcard Platinum Pack

Wildcard Platinum Pack is a $500 Courtyard Shipwreck mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $392.80, worth $343.27 at its observed 87% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.687x (0.786x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 15.4% of 13 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Early Rip Advisor lean (small sample): SKIP (24/100).

Ranked #74 of 74 ranked packs by cash-out ratio.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.687x

$343.27 back on a $500 pack, at this pack's observed 87% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 0.786x.

95% range $309.54–$377.00, clear of the $500 price.

SKIP-31.3% ROI
EMERGING · 13 pulls · 1dSIGNAL Active · 27 h ago
Calibrated EV
$393
Cash-out EV
$343
Pack price
$500
Typical pull
$409
Hit rate
15.4%
Lifetime EV
$421
Pulls indexed
13
Last pull
1d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Wildcard Platinum Pack worth it right now?

Early readscore 24/100SKIP
  • Early read: only 13 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
  • Cash-out EV is $343 on a $500 pack (-31.3% net after the ~87% buyback) — the average rip loses money.
  • Cash-out EV is $343.27, and the sample is precise enough to place it below the $500.00 price: the 95% range is $309.54 to $377.00, which does not include the price.
  • The typical pull (median) is $409 — most rips return less than the pack price; the EV is carried by rare chase cards.
  • What recent pulls return has been stable over the last 7 days.
  • Low volatility: steady pack. Fewer duds, but also fewer moonshots.
  • Calibrated EV (recent pulls weighted) is $393 vs $421 lifetime — the pool has gotten worse recently.
  • 15.4% of pulls meet or beat the pack price, across 13 indexed pulls.
Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Wildcard Platinum Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

13 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

BUILDING SAMPLE

13 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 13 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Active · 27 h ago

Current, with pulls still arriving at the usual rate. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 21 days.

Newest pull
27 h
observed
Pull rate
0.6/day
observed
Pulls, 7d
3
observed
Half-life
Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Wildcard Platinum Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 13 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 2004 to 2025.

  • Current (2020+)67%$444 avg
  • Year not stated17%$399 avg
  • Modern (2010-2019)8%$363 avg
  • Retro (2000-2009)8%$409 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

  • (1652-81)P BOLIVIA 4R (11.80g) Consolacion8%$375 avg
  • 1679P V BOLIVIA 4R (6.94g) Consolacion8%$422 avg
  • Evolving Skies8%$352 avg
  • Finest8%$409 avg
  • One Piece English Version 1st Anniversary Set8%$396 avg
  • One Piece Starter Deck ST01-Straw Hat Crew8%$523 avg
  • Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal8%$472 avg
  • Panini Donruss Downtown8%$439 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 83% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

  • Brian Thomas Jr.10%$439 avg
  • Brook10%$396 avg
  • Johnny Gaudreau10%$363 avg
  • Jude Bellingham10%$372 avg
  • Lamine Yamal10%$472 avg
  • LeBron James10%$409 avg
  • Rome Odunze10%$472 avg
  • Roronoa Zoro10%$523 avg

What comes out

Not every pull is a graded single.

  • Graded cards83%$433 avg
  • Graded coins17%$399 avg

Built from the 12 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left. 1 name could not be read and is excluded.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Wildcard Platinum Pack pulls

2020 Panini Prizm #256 Tyrese Maxey - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Prizm #256 Tyrese Maxey - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$531PSA 10 GEM MINT
2022 One Piece Starter Deck ST01-Straw Hat Crew #013 Roronoa Zoro - Super Pre-Release (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 One Piece Starter Deck ST01-Straw Hat Crew #013 Roronoa Zoro - Super Pre-Release (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$523PSA 10 GEM MINT
2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #15 Rome Odunze (PSA 9 MINT)

2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #15 Rome Odunze (PSA 9 MINT)

$472PSA 9 MINT
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions #27 Lamine Yamal - Aqua Prism Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions #27 Lamine Yamal - Aqua Prism Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$472PSA 10 GEM MINT
2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #2 Brian Thomas Jr. (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #2 Brian Thomas Jr. (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$439PSA 10 GEM MINT
1679P V BOLIVIA 4R (6.94g) Consolacion NGC SEASALVAGED

1679P V BOLIVIA 4R (6.94g) Consolacion NGC SEASALVAGED

$422NGC SEASALVAGED
2004 Finest #23 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2004 Finest #23 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$409PSA 10 GEM MINT
2024 One Piece English Version 1st Anniversary Set #011 Brook (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 One Piece English Version 1st Anniversary Set #011 Brook (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$396PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Wildcard Platinum Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $392.80, below the $500 pack price, and has moved down 1.3% over the last 7 days.

0.687xCash-out ratio

Cash-out ratio over time: 524 points from Sep 16 to Sep 22, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.69x, down overall (-1.3%), ranging between 0.68x and 0.72x.

09 / Quick answers

Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers

Is Wildcard Platinum Pack worth buying right now?
Our current verdict is SKIP (score 24/100). Early read: only 13 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
What is the EV of Wildcard Platinum Pack?
The calibrated EV is $392.80 against a pack price of $500.00, with a typical (median) pull of $408.80 across 13 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Wildcard Platinum Pack?
15.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Wildcard Platinum Pack?
The median pull is $408.80 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $530.50.

10 / Pull log

Latest Wildcard Platinum Pack pulls

Compare Wildcard Platinum Pack with other Shipwreck packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.

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