$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack is currently the better value: a 0.960x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.821x, across 105 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $560.44 | $456.07 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.960x | 0.821x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.121x | 0.912x |
| Median pull | $458.00 | $414.70 |
| Hit rate | 35.6% | 23.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.62x | 0.26x |
| Pulls indexed | 59 | 46 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 6, starting at 1.20x and ending at 0.96x, down overall (-20.0%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.20x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 6, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.82x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.67x and 1.00x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.960x vs 0.821x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack: 35.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 23.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies