$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack is currently the better value: a 0.728x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.722x, across 20 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $430.08 | $413.00 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.728x | 0.722x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.860x | 0.826x |
| Median pull | $458.00 | $415.40 |
| Hit rate | 12.5% | 16.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.21x | 0.14x |
| Pulls indexed | 8 | 12 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack: 477 points from Aug 5 to Sep 19, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.73x, down overall (-38.5%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.18x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 431 points from Aug 8 to Sep 19, starting at 0.80x and ending at 0.72x, down overall (-9.5%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.80x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.728x vs 0.722x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack: 12.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 16.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack has the higher volatility (0.21x vs 0.14x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: $500 Shipwreck Coins Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies