Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?

The calibrated EV is $89.45 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $70.50 across 47 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?

100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?

The median pull is $70.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $399.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $89.45 and a typical (median) pull of $70.50 across 47 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Ranked #46 of 68 tracked packs by EV ratio, #15 of 22 Pokémon packs.

Calibrated EV

$89

— ROI

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE· 47 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 2.9 h ago

Lifetime EV: $89
Cash-out EV: $76
Typical pull: $71
Pack price: Unknown
Hit rate: —
Pulls indexed: 47
Last pull: 2h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 2.9 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 2.9 h; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 47; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Floor safety

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4, the top 2% of pulls account for 10% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

10% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls — the average EV is a fair picture of a typical rip.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across offers we've indexed, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — below the advertised ~90%, so FMV is not your exit price. Every number in our verdicts already uses this haircut.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

45 paired pulls · 96% bid coverage · confidence 83%

Instant-selling a typical pull here returns $76.34 — $13.90 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not an assumed 90%.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

04 / Observed odds

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it reflects the pool as it drains — posted odds can't do that.

Under $350.0%· stable
$35 – $7148.9%· stable
$71 – $141 · beats the pack38.3%· stable
$141 – $353 · big hit10.6%· stable
$353+ · chase2.1%· stable

Observed across 47 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means the good cards are leaving the pool.

06 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 pulls

2007 Pokémon Diamond & Pearl Secret Wonders #13 Ludicolo - Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

$399PSA 9 MINT

2019 Pokémon Sun & Moon Hidden Fates #68 Jessie & James - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$235PSA 10 GEM MINT

2016 Pokémon XY Pokekyun Collection #030 Fletchling - 1st Edition (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$191PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Pokémon SV8-Super Electric Breaker #122 Pikachu EX - Holo Super Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$150PSA 10 GEM MINT

2022 Pokémon Swsh Black Star Promo #229 Mewtwo V - Holo Full Art Pokemon Go Elite Trainer Box (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$147PSA 10 GEM MINT

2022 Pokémon Swsh Black Star Promo #229 Mewtwo V - Holo Full Art Pokemon Go Elite Trainer Box (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$146PSA 10 GEM MINT

2007 Pokémon Diamond & Pearl Secret of the Lakes #301 Celebi - 1st Edition Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

$133PSA 9 MINT

2023 Pokémon Svi EN-Scarlet & Violet #251 Miriam - Special Illustration Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$126PSA 10 GEM MINT

07 / EV history

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $89.45, and has moved up 15.5% over the last 7 days.

$89.45EV

08 / Quick answers

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 — quick answers

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.
What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?: The calibrated EV is $89.45 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $70.50 across 47 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?: 100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4?: The median pull is $70.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $399.00.

09 / Pull log