Basketball
Sports GOAT
Sports GOAT is a Courtyard Basketball mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $170.66 and a typical (median) pull of $155.15 across 16 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.
Calibrated EV
$171
- Calibrated EV
- $171
- Cash-out EV
- $146
- Pack price
- Unknown
- Typical pull
- $155
- Hit rate
- —
- Lifetime EV
- $171
- Pulls indexed
- 16
- Last pull
- 14m ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Sports GOAT worth it right now?
- No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Sports GOAT pool
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 9 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Fresh · just nowRecomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.
- Newest pull
- 59 min
- observed
- Pull rate
- too soon
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 9
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Sports GOAT
Only 9 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 1961 to 2024.
- Current (2020+)33%$152 avg
- Vintage (pre-2000)33%$181 avg
- Modern (2010-2019)22%$158 avg
- Retro (2000-2009)11%$175 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Bowman Platinum22%$158 avg
- Donruss11%$142 avg
- Finest11%$260 avg
- Panini Prizm11%$140 avg
- Panini Prizm Sublime11%$147 avg
- Topps11%$140 avg
- Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani11%$170 avg
- Topps Gallery11%$175 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Shohei Ohtani33%$162 avg
- Doug Harvey11%$140 avg
- Drew Brees11%$175 avg
- LeBron James11%$140 avg
- Michael Jordan11%$260 avg
- Nikola Jokic11%$147 avg
- Rickey Henderson11%$142 avg
Built from the 9 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Sports GOAT pulls
1993 Finest #1 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)
2001 Topps Gallery #115 Drew Brees (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani #83 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
2018 Bowman Platinum #34 Shohei Ohtani - With Glove (PSA 9 MINT)
2024 Panini Prizm Sublime #4 Nikola Jokic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
1961 Topps #45 Doug Harvey (PSA 8 NM-MT)
2022 Panini Prizm #134 LeBron James - Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
08 / EV history
Sports GOAT EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $170.66, and has moved down 6.2% over the last 7 days.
EV over time: 11 points from Oct 27 to Oct 27, starting at $180 and ending at $170, down overall (-5.4%), ranging between $170 and $200.
09 / Quick answers
Sports GOAT — quick answers
- Is Sports GOAT worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
- What is the EV of Sports GOAT?
- The calibrated EV is $170.66 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $155.15 across 16 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Sports GOAT?
- We cannot say yet. Sports GOAT has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 16 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
- What is the typical pull from Sports GOAT?
- The median pull is $155.15 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $259.80.
10 / Pull log
Latest Sports GOAT pulls
- 1961 Topps #45 Doug Harvey (PSA 8 NM-MT)$140.001h ago
- 2018 Bowman Platinum #34 Shohei Ohtani - With Glove (PSA 9 MINT)$158.301h ago
- 2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani #83 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$170.001h ago
- 2001 Topps Gallery #115 Drew Brees (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$174.501h ago
- 2024 Panini Prizm Sublime #4 Nikola Jokic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$147.001h ago
- 1993 Finest #1 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)$259.801h ago
- 2022 Panini Prizm #134 LeBron James - Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$140.001h ago
Compare Sports GOAT with other Basketball packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Basketball Mythic Pack0.789x cash-out · EV $4,665 · hit rate 23.5%HOUSE EDGE
- Basketball Legend Pack0.802x cash-out · EV $2,370 · hit rate 28.6%HOUSE EDGE
- Basketball Diamond Pack1.551x cash-out · EV $1,834 · hit rate 28.6%GREAT VALUE
- Sports Ghost Gold+EV $769SET PACK PRICE
- Sports InfernoEV $708SET PACK PRICE
- Sports Platinum Pack0.820x cash-out · EV $480 · hit rate 31.4%HOUSE EDGE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.