Is Football: Round 1 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Football: Round 1?

The calibrated EV is $99.87 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $87.60 across 27 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Football: Round 1?

We cannot say yet. Football: Round 1 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 27 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Football: Round 1?

The median pull is $87.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $293.00.

Football

Football: Round 1

Football: Round 1 is a Courtyard Football mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $99.87 and a typical (median) pull of $87.60 across 27 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$100

— ROI

EMERGING · 27 pulls · 48dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 48 days ago

Calibrated EV: $100
Cash-out EV: $89
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $88
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $102
Pulls indexed: 27
Last pull: 48d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Football: Round 1 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Football: Round 1 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 27 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 48 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 48 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Football: Round 1

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1965 to 2025.

Current (2020+)74%$101 avg
Modern (2010-2019)11%$90 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)11%$121 avg
Retro (2000-2009)4%$104 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Panini Select15%$130 avg
Panini Donruss Optic11%$89 avg
Panini Prizm11%$88 avg
Bowman Best University4%$84 avg
Bowman U Now4%$86 avg
Nflpa Stay Cool in School Tom Brady4%$104 avg
Onit Ohio State University Fusion4%$77 avg
Panini Donruss Bomb Squad4%$73 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 96% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Bo Nix19%$78 avg
Drake Maye8%$85 avg
Fernando Mendoza8%$85 avg
Bo Jackson4%$125 avg
Brian Bosworth4%$167 avg
Caleb Williams4%$293 avg
Cam Skattebo4%$77 avg
Dak Prescott4%$84 avg

Built from the 27 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Football: Round 1 pulls

2024 Panini Select #378 Caleb Williams - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$293PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Mosaic Kaleidoscopic #22 Malik Nabers (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$187PSA 10 GEM MINT

1988 Topps #144 Brian Bosworth (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$167PSA 10 GEM MINT

1991 Upper Deck #155 Bo Jackson (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$125PSA 10 GEM MINT

2022 Panini Mosaic Autographs No Huddle #ANHKP Kenny Pickett (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$116PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Panini Mosaic #393 Spencer Rattler - Red Sparkle (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$105PSA 10 GEM MINT

2003 Nflpa Stay Cool in School Tom Brady (PSA 9 MINT)

$104PSA 9 MINT

2018 Panini Donruss Optic #156 Saquon Barkley (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$95PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Football: Round 1 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $99.87, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

$99.87EV

09 / Quick answers

Football: Round 1 — quick answers

Is Football: Round 1 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Football: Round 1?: The calibrated EV is $99.87 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $87.60 across 27 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Football: Round 1?: We cannot say yet. Football: Round 1 has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 27 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Football: Round 1?: The median pull is $87.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $293.00.

10 / Pull log