Is Pokémon EX Pack worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Pokémon EX Pack?

The calibrated EV is $66.61 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $62.60 across 58 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon EX Pack?

100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon EX Pack?

The median pull is $62.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $161.10.

Pokémon

Pokémon EX Pack

Pokémon EX Pack is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $66.61 and a typical (median) pull of $62.60 across 58 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Ranked #119 of 129 tracked packs by cash-out ratio, #35 of 41 Pokémon packs.

Calibrated EV

$67

— ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE· 58 pulls · 16dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 16 days ago

Calibrated EV: $67
Cash-out EV: $56
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $63
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $67
Pulls indexed: 58
Last pull: 16d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon EX Pack worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon EX Pack pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 16 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 16 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Pokémon EX Pack

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 2004 to 2026.

Current (2020+)91%$66 avg
Modern (2010-2019)5%$66 avg
Retro (2000-2009)3%$82 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX22%$57 avg
Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes12%$61 avg
Pokémon Pfl EN-Phantasmal Flames9%$62 avg
Pokémon Clk-Trading Card Game Classic Blastoise & Suicune EX Deck5%$68 avg
Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero3%$113 avg
Pokémon M4-Ninja Spinner3%$73 avg
Pokémon Pre EN-Prismatic Evolutions3%$65 avg
Black Star Promos - Mega Evolution MEP EN2%$86 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Mega Lucario EX10%$58 avg
Mega Gengar EX9%$62 avg
Mega Eelektross EX5%$62 avg
Squirtle5%$68 avg
Mega Diancie EX3%$63 avg
Mega Dragonite EX3%$58 avg
Pikachu EX3%$48 avg
Team Rocket's Mimikyu3%$52 avg

Built from the 58 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Pokémon EX Pack floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Pokémon EX Pack, the top 2% of pulls account for 8% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

8% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls — the average EV is a fair picture of a typical rip.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across offers we've indexed, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — below the advertised ~90%, so FMV is not your exit price. Every number in our verdicts already uses this haircut.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

55 paired pulls · 95% bid coverage · confidence 87%

Instant-selling a typical pull here returns $56.58 — $10.30 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not an assumed 90%.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Pokémon EX Pack odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it reflects the pool as it drains — posted odds can't do that.

Under $310.0%· stable
$31 – $6348.3%· stable
$63 – $125 · beats the pack48.3%· stable
$125 – $313 · big hit3.4%· stable
$313+ · chase0.0%· stable

Observed across 58 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means the good cards are leaving the pool.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon EX Pack pulls

2025 Pokémon Sv11w-White Flare #168 Reshiram EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 9 MINT)

$161PSA 9 MINT

2026 Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero #114 Meowth EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$137PSA 10 GEM MINT

2026 Pokémon M4-Ninja Spinner #099 Mega Floette EX - Holo Super Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$95PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 Pokémon Sfa EN-Shrouded Fable #012 Kingdra EX - Holo Greninja EX & Kingdra EX Special Collection (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$90PSA 10 GEM MINT

2026 Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero #111 Mega Starmie EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$89PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Pokémon Mbg-Mega Starter Set Mega Gengar EX #022 Haunter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$89PSA 10 GEM MINT

2016 Pokémon XY Evolutions #65 M Pidgeot EX - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$88PSA 10 GEM MINT

2006 EX Dragon Frontiers #1/101 Ampharos δ - Holo (CGC 9 MINT)

$86CGC 9 MINT

08 / EV history

Pokémon EX Pack EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $66.61, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

$66.61EV

09 / Quick answers

Pokémon EX Pack — quick answers

Is Pokémon EX Pack worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Pokémon EX Pack?: The calibrated EV is $66.61 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $62.60 across 58 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon EX Pack?: 100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon EX Pack?: The median pull is $62.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $161.10.

10 / Pull log