Is One Piece PSA 10 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is CAUTION (score 58/100). Early read: only 7 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.

What is the EV of One Piece PSA 10?

The calibrated EV is $80.95 against a pack price of $69.00, with a typical (median) pull of $60.20 across 7 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on One Piece PSA 10?

28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from One Piece PSA 10?

The median pull is $60.20 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $203.30.

One Piece

One Piece PSA 10

One Piece PSA 10 is a $69 Courtyard One Piece mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $80.95, worth $68.48 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.993x (1.173x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 28.6% of 7 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Early Rip Advisor lean (small sample): CAUTION (58/100).

Ranked #11 of 129 tracked packs by cash-out ratio, #2 of 13 One Piece packs.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.993x

$68.48 back on a $69 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.173x.

CAUTION-0.7% ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE· 7 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 1.8 h ago

Calibrated EV: $81
Cash-out EV: $68
Pack price: $69
Typical pull: $60
Hit rate: 28.6%
Lifetime EV: $81
Pulls indexed: 7
Last pull: 1h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is One Piece PSA 10 worth it right now?

Early readscore 58/100CAUTION

050100

Early read: only 7 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
Cash-out EV is $68 on a $69 pack (-0.7% net after the ~85% buyback) — the average rip loses money.
The typical pull (median) is $60 — most rips return less than the pack price; the EV is carried by rare chase cards.
EV has been stable over the last 7 days.
28.6% of pulls meet or beat the pack price, across 7 indexed pulls.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the One Piece PSA 10 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

First indexed pull 1 day(s) ago — the pool is new, so early numbers move fast and mean little yet.

NEWLY LAUNCHED

First indexed pull 1 day(s) ago — the pool is new, so early numbers move fast and mean little yet.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 7 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 1.8 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 1.8 h; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 7; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of One Piece PSA 10

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 7 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 2022 to 2026.

Current (2020+)100%$81 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

One Piece Promos29%$61 avg
One Piece OP05-Awakening of the New Era14%$57 avg
One Piece OP10-Royal Blood14%$53 avg
One Piece OP14-EB04-the Azure Sea's Seven14%$51 avg
One Piece Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol.414%$82 avg
One Piece Starter Deck ST04-Animal Kingdom Pirates14%$203 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Monkey D. Luffy29%$61 avg
Carrot14%$51 avg
Dereshi!14%$82 avg
Donquixote Rosinante14%$57 avg
Kaido14%$203 avg
Sugar14%$53 avg

Built from the 7 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest One Piece PSA 10 pulls

2022 One Piece Starter Deck ST04-Animal Kingdom Pirates #001 Kaido - Super Pre-Release (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$203PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 One Piece Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol.4 #117 Dereshi! (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$82PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 One Piece Promos #006 Monkey D. Luffy - Treasure Boosters Set (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$61PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 One Piece Promos #006 Monkey D. Luffy - Treasure Boosters Set (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$60PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 One Piece OP05-Awakening of the New Era #022 Donquixote Rosinante - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$57PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 One Piece OP10-Royal Blood #003 Sugar - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$53PSA 10 GEM MINT

2026 One Piece OP14-EB04-the Azure Sea's Seven #013 Carrot - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$51PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

One Piece PSA 10 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $80.95, above the $69 pack price, and has moved down 1.4% over the last 7 days.

1.173xEV ratio

09 / Quick answers

One Piece PSA 10 — quick answers

Is One Piece PSA 10 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is CAUTION (score 58/100). Early read: only 7 pulls indexed — this is a lean, not a settled verdict. The numbers can swing hard until the sample reaches 30.
What is the EV of One Piece PSA 10?: The calibrated EV is $80.95 against a pack price of $69.00, with a typical (median) pull of $60.20 across 7 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on One Piece PSA 10?: 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from One Piece PSA 10?: The median pull is $60.20 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $203.30.

10 / Pull log

Latest One Piece PSA 10 pulls

Compare One Piece PSA 10 with other One Piece packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.