Is One Piece PSA 10 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 44 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

What is the EV of One Piece PSA 10?

The calibrated EV is $77.77 against a pack price of $69.00, with a typical (median) pull of $59.50 across 8 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on One Piece PSA 10?

25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from One Piece PSA 10?

The median pull is $59.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $203.30.

One Piece

One Piece PSA 10

One Piece PSA 10 is a $69 Courtyard One Piece mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $77.77, worth $65.79 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.954x (1.127x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 25.0% of 8 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.954x

$65.79 back on a $69 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.127x.

95% range $37.84–$93.75 — that still includes the $69 price, so this edge is inside the noise of the sample.

-4.6% ROI

EMERGING · 8 pulls · 44dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 44 days ago

Calibrated EV: $78
Cash-out EV: $66
Pack price: $69
Typical pull: $60
Hit rate: 25.0%
Lifetime EV: $78
Pulls indexed: 8
Last pull: 44d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is One Piece PSA 10 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No new pulls in 44 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the One Piece PSA 10 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

8 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

BUILDING SAMPLE

8 pulls indexed — drift math needs 30+ to mean anything. Early read only.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 8 so far.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 44 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull: 44 days; observed
Pull rate: none; observed
Pulls, 7d: 0; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of One Piece PSA 10

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

Only 8 pulls indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.

By era

Cards seen range from 2022 to 2026.

Current (2020+)100%$78 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

One Piece Promos25%$61 avg
One Piece OP05-Awakening of the New Era13%$57 avg
One Piece OP10-Royal Blood13%$53 avg
One Piece OP11-A Fist of Divine Speed13%$59 avg
One Piece OP14-EB04-the Azure Sea's Seven13%$51 avg
One Piece Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol.413%$82 avg
One Piece Starter Deck ST04-Animal Kingdom Pirates13%$203 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

Monkey D. Luffy25%$61 avg
Carrot13%$51 avg
Dereshi!13%$82 avg
Donquixote Rosinante13%$57 avg
Kaido13%$203 avg
Sugar13%$53 avg
Vinsmoke Reiju13%$59 avg

Built from the 8 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

07 / Big hits

Biggest One Piece PSA 10 pulls

2022 One Piece Starter Deck ST04-Animal Kingdom Pirates #001 Kaido - Super Pre-Release (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$203PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 One Piece Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol.4 #117 Dereshi! (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$82PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 One Piece Promos #006 Monkey D. Luffy - Treasure Boosters Set (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$61PSA 10 GEM MINT

2024 One Piece Promos #006 Monkey D. Luffy - Treasure Boosters Set (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$60PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 One Piece OP11-A Fist of Divine Speed #047 Vinsmoke Reiju - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$59PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 One Piece OP05-Awakening of the New Era #022 Donquixote Rosinante - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$57PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 One Piece OP10-Royal Blood #003 Sugar - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$53PSA 10 GEM MINT

2026 One Piece OP14-EB04-the Azure Sea's Seven #013 Carrot - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$51PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

One Piece PSA 10 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $77.77, above the $69 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

0.954xCash-out ratio

09 / Quick answers

One Piece PSA 10 — quick answers

Is One Piece PSA 10 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 44 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
What is the EV of One Piece PSA 10?: The calibrated EV is $77.77 against a pack price of $69.00, with a typical (median) pull of $59.50 across 8 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on One Piece PSA 10?: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from One Piece PSA 10?: The median pull is $59.50 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $203.30.

10 / Pull log

Latest One Piece PSA 10 pulls

Compare One Piece PSA 10 with other One Piece packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.