One Piece PSA 10 vs One Piece Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, One Piece PSA 10 is currently the better value: a 0.954x cash-out ratio against One Piece Ultra Pack's 0.836x, across 169 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | One Piece PSA 10 | One Piece Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | NO DATA | SKIP |
| Pack price | $69 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $77.77 | $247.03 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.954x | 0.836x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.127x | 0.988x |
| Median pull | $59.50 | $224.70 |
| Hit rate | 25.0% | 32.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.61x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 8 | 161 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece PSA 10: 517 points from Sep 9 to Oct 23, starting at 1.01x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-5.3%), ranging between 0.95x and 1.78x. One Piece Ultra Pack: 952 points from Jul 29 to Oct 23, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+19.4%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.72x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
One Piece PSA 10 vs One Piece Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: One Piece PSA 10 or One Piece Ultra Pack?
- One Piece PSA 10 currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.954x vs 0.836x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- One Piece PSA 10: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. One Piece Ultra Pack: 32.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- One Piece PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.61x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: One Piece PSA 10 EV & verdict · One Piece Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies