One Piece PSA 10 vs One Piece Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, One Piece PSA 10 is currently the better value: a 0.993x cash-out ratio against One Piece Ultra Pack's 0.771x, across 29 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | One Piece PSA 10 | One Piece Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $69 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $80.95 | $227.83 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.993x | 0.771x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.173x | 0.911x |
| Median pull | $60.20 | $224.50 |
| Hit rate | 28.6% | 31.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.62x | 0.60x |
| Pulls indexed | 7 | 22 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece PSA 10: 12 points from Sep 9 to Sep 10, starting at 1.01x and ending at 0.99x, down overall (-1.4%), ranging between 0.99x and 1.78x. One Piece Ultra Pack: 447 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+10.1%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.72x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
One Piece PSA 10 vs One Piece Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: One Piece PSA 10 or One Piece Ultra Pack?
- One Piece PSA 10 currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.993x vs 0.771x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- One Piece PSA 10: 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. One Piece Ultra Pack: 31.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- One Piece PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.60x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: One Piece PSA 10 EV & verdict · One Piece Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies