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One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore

One Piece

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore is a $149 Courtyard One Piece mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $158.50, worth $134.09 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.900x (1.064x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 34.3% of 35 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.

This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.

Cash-out ratio

0.900x

$134.09 back on a $149 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 1.064x.

95% range $116.83–$151.35 — that still includes the $149 price, so this edge is inside the noise of the sample.

-10.0% ROI
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE · 35 pulls · 56dSIGNAL Awaiting new data · 56 days ago
Calibrated EV
$159
Cash-out EV
$134
Pack price
$149
Typical pull
$130
Hit rate
34.3%
Lifetime EV
$156
Pulls indexed
35
Last pull
56d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA
  • No new pulls in 56 days, past the 21-day ceiling.

Downside · bottom-quartile rip

−$47

1 in 4 rips returns ≤ $102 cash — covering 69% of the price.

Upside · top-decile rip

+$65

1 in 10 rips returns ≥ $214 cash. Both figures use the observed buyback ratio.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No new pulls indexed in 56 days — pool state unknown until data resumes.

DATA STALE

No new pulls indexed in 56 days — pool state unknown until data resumes.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

chase tier ≥ $745 · confidence 77%

No chase-tier pulls (≥ $745) observed in the last 30 days.

Removals are facts; what's left is not. Each row is a unique graded card observed leaving this pack, so it is no longer in the pool — though a card can return after a buyback, which is why re-listings are flagged. We show no “chance it remains”: Courtyard publishes pulls, not inventory, so that number would be guesswork. Formula

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Awaiting new data · 56 days ago

No pulls indexed recently, so this read cannot refresh. Treat it as a snapshot of the past.

Newest pull
56 days
observed
Pull rate
none
observed
Pulls, 7d
0
observed
Half-life
Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 2022 to 2026.

  • Current (2020+)100%$156 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

  • One Piece OP11-A Fist of Divine Speed20%$125 avg
  • One Piece Promos11%$154 avg
  • One Piece Japanese Promos9%$137 avg
  • One Piece OP12-Legacy of the Master9%$127 avg
  • One Piece OP13-Carrying on His Will9%$122 avg
  • One Piece OP08-Two Legends6%$134 avg
  • One Piece OP09-Emperors in the New World6%$242 avg
  • One Piece Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol.26%$137 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on every readable pull.

  • Monkey D. Luffy20%$148 avg
  • Silvers Rayleigh11%$118 avg
  • Boa Hancock9%$145 avg
  • Boeuf Burst6%$129 avg
  • Divine Departure6%$121 avg
  • Gum-Gum Fire-Fist Pistol Red Hawk6%$141 avg
  • Portgas D. Ace6%$212 avg
  • Tashigi6%$134 avg

Built from the 35 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore, the top 2% of pulls account for 6% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

6% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 34 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

34 paired pulls · 97% bid coverage · confidence 77%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $133.45 — $24.29 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Across 35 indexed pulls, 34.3% returned at least the $149 pack price and 5.7% returned double or more; the single best recorded pull is $329.

  • Under $75
  • $75 – $149
  • $149 – $298 · beats the pack
  • $298 – $745 · big hit
  • $745+ · chase

Observed across 35 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

06 / Simulator

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore rip simulator

What ripping 1–20 packs looks like, using this pack's actual pull distribution.
Averaged over
$158.50 per pull
Cost
$745
Expected cash-out
$670
Expected net
-$75
≥1 hit chance
87.7%

Recent pool: pulls are weighted so newer ones count for more, the same basis as this pack’s headline, verdict and the budget tool. The 35 pulls behind the hit chance are unweighted either way, and the 85% buyback is applied to both. Averages describe many rips — any single rip can land anywhere on the distribution.

Monte Carlo · 10,000 trials

P(profit) 21.0%

Mean net −$81

Cost $745

Worst 5%
−$221
Bottom quartile
−$172
Median
−$93
Top quartile
−$15
Best 5%
+$125

Bootstrap resampling of 35 observed pulls with the 85% cash-out applied. Every pull is drawn with equal probability, so this is an all-time average: it will sit below the headline whenever the recent pool has run better than the lifetime one, and above it when the reverse is true. It also assumes the pool doesn't change as you rip — for top-heavy packs the downside is understated once the grail leaves. Estimates, not financial advice.

07 / Big hits

Biggest One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore pulls

08 / EV history

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $158.50, above the $149 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.

0.900xCash-out ratio

Cash-out ratio over time: 539 points from Oct 19 to Oct 25, starting at 0.90x and ending at 0.90x, essentially flat across the period.

09 / Quick answers

One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore — quick answers

Is One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore worth buying right now?
Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 56 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
What is the EV of One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore?
The calibrated EV is $158.50 against a pack price of $149.00, with a typical (median) pull of $129.70 across 35 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore?
34.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price, and 5.7% returned at least double the price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore?
The median pull is $129.70 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $329.30.

10 / Pull log

Latest One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore pulls

Compare One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore with other One Piece packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.

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