Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?

The calibrated EV is $20.49 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $15.60 across 152 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?

100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.

What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?

The median pull is $15.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $106.00.

Pokémon

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $20.49 and a typical (median) pull of $15.60 across 152 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Ranked #64 of 68 tracked packs by EV ratio, #21 of 22 Pokémon packs.

Calibrated EV

$20

— ROI

HIGH CONFIDENCE· 152 pulls · 1dSIGNAL Stale · 44 h ago

Lifetime EV: $20
Cash-out EV: $19
Typical pull: $16
Pack price: Unknown
Hit rate: —
Pulls indexed: 152
Last pull: 1d ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Stale · 44 h ago

No new pulls for well past this pack's usual gap (typically 31 min). It may be paused, sold out, or no longer indexed. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 3.3 days.

Newest pull: 44 h; observed
Pull rate: 46.1/day; observed
Pulls, 7d: 152; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is too short and its early stretch is seeded placeholder data; a number regressed from that would describe our seed script, not the market. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Floor safety

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1, the top 2% of pulls account for 10% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 94% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

10% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls — the average EV is a fair picture of a typical rip.

Buyback reality

92.5% of FMV observed

Across offers we've indexed, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $92 if you instant-sell — in line with the advertised ~90%. Every number in our verdicts already uses this haircut.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

152 paired pulls · 100% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling a typical pull here returns $18.72 — $1.68 below sticker FMV (8.2% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not an assumed 90%.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

04 / Observed odds

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it reflects the pool as it drains — posted odds can't do that.

Under $80.0%· stable
$8 – $1649.3%▲ 0.7pt · 48h
$16 – $31 · beats the pack39.5%▲ 5.3pt · 48h
$31 – $78 · big hit10.5%▼ 5.3pt · 48h
$78+ · chase0.7%▼ 0.7pt · 48h

Observed across 152 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means the good cards are leaving the pool.

06 / Big hits

Biggest Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 pulls

2023 Pokémon Svp EN-SV Black Star Promo #044 Charmander - Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box (PSA 9 MINT)

$106PSA 9 MINT

2021 Pokémon 25th Anniversary Collection #001 Pikachu - Full Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$74PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Pokémon Sv11b-Black Bolt #144 Vullaby - Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$63PSA 10 GEM MINT

2023 Pokémon Par EN-Paradox Rift #253 Altaria EX - Holo Special Illustration Rare (PSA 9 MINT)

$63PSA 9 MINT

2022 VSTAR Universe #195/172 Latias - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$55CGC 10 PRISTINE

2023 Pokémon Card 151 #170/165 Squirtle - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$54CGC 10 GEM MINT

2003 Aquapolis #103b/147 Porygon (CGC 10 GEM MINT)

$51CGC 10 GEM MINT

1999 Pokémon Neo Promo #160 Feraligatr - Holo Premium File (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$46PSA 8 NM-MT

07 / EV history

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $20.49, and has moved up 13.7% over the last 7 days.

$20.49EV

08 / Quick answers

Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 — quick answers

Is Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1 worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). Pack price unknown — set it to unlock the verdict.
What is the EV of Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?: The calibrated EV is $20.49 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $15.60 across 152 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?: 100.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
What is the typical pull from Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1?: The median pull is $15.60 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $106.00.

09 / Pull log