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PullValue
30th Anniversary: Crystal

Pokémon

30th Anniversary: Crystal

30th Anniversary: Crystal is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $57.12 and a typical (median) pull of $51.00 across 743 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$57

ROI
LOW CONFIDENCE · 743 pulls · todaySIGNAL Weakening · 14 h ago
Calibrated EV
$57
Cash-out EV
$48
Pack price
Unknown
Typical pull
$51
Hit rate
Lifetime EV
$57
Pulls indexed
743
Last pull
13h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is 30th Anniversary: Crystal worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA
  • No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the 30th Anniversary: Crystal pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Weakening · 14 h ago

Pull flow has slowed past the usual gap of 5 min, so this read is ageing faster than the pack is producing evidence. At the observed pull rate, half the evidence behind this read is replaced in about 2.4 days.

Newest pull
14 h
observed
Pull rate
309.1/day
observed
Pulls, 7d
743
observed
Half-life
Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of 30th Anniversary: Crystal

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1996 to 2026.

  • Current (2020+)74%$57 avg
  • Modern (2010-2019)10%$57 avg
  • Vintage (pre-2000)9%$60 avg
  • Retro (2000-2009)7%$57 avg
  • Year not stated<1%$57 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

  • Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes5%$56 avg
  • Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX4%$57 avg
  • Pokémon Sv2a-Pokémon Card 1513%$69 avg
  • Pokémon Sv8a-Terastal Fest EX2%$59 avg
  • Pokémon Sword & Shield Vstar Universe2%$56 avg
  • Pokémon Meg EN-Mega Evolution2%$62 avg
  • Pokémon M3-Nullifying Zero2%$63 avg
  • Black Star Promos - Mega Evolution MEP EN2%$52 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 98% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

  • Pikachu3%$59 avg
  • Squirtle1%$65 avg
  • Charmander1%$77 avg
  • Bulbasaur1%$55 avg
  • Mega Diancie EX1%$48 avg
  • Gengar1%$58 avg
  • Mega Charizard X EX1%$62 avg
  • Mega Charizard X ex1%$61 avg

Built from the 743 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

30th Anniversary: Crystal floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In 30th Anniversary: Crystal, the top 2% of pulls account for 5% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

5% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.7% of FMV observed

Across 709 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

709 paired pulls · 95% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $48.62 $8.79 below sticker FMV (15.3% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

30th Anniversary: Crystal odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.
  • Under $26
  • $26 – $51
  • $51 – $102 · beats the pack
  • $102 – $255 · big hit
  • $255+ · chase

Observed across 743 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest 30th Anniversary: Crystal pulls

08 / EV history

30th Anniversary: Crystal EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $57.12, and has moved up 2.9% over the last 7 days.

$56.9EV

EV over time: 246 points from Sep 16 to Sep 18, starting at $55 and ending at $57, up overall (+2.6%), ranging between $53 and $59.

09 / Quick answers

30th Anniversary: Crystal — quick answers

Is 30th Anniversary: Crystal worth buying right now?
Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of 30th Anniversary: Crystal?
The calibrated EV is $57.12 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $51.00 across 743 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on 30th Anniversary: Crystal?
We cannot say yet. 30th Anniversary: Crystal has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 743 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from 30th Anniversary: Crystal?
The median pull is $51.00 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $227.40.

10 / Pull log

Latest 30th Anniversary: Crystal pulls

Compare 30th Anniversary: Crystal with other Pokémon packs

Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.

Understand these numbers

Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.

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