Pokémon
Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper
Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper is a $749 Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $718.30, worth $607.68 at its observed 85% buyback — a cash-out ratio of 0.811x (0.959x at sticker FMV), so it currently returns less than its price on the average rip once the buyback haircut is taken. 0.0% of 1 indexed pulls met or beat the pack price.
This pack is no longer sold on Courtyard — the numbers below are its historical record.
Cash-out ratio
0.811x
$607.68 back on a $749 pack, at this pack's observed 85% buyback. At sticker FMV it is 0.959x.
- Calibrated EV
- $718
- Cash-out EV
- $608
- Pack price
- $749
- Typical pull
- $718
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Lifetime EV
- $718
- Pulls indexed
- 1
- Last pull
- 23d ago
01 / Rip Advisor
Is Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper worth it right now?
- No new pulls in 23 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.
02 / Pool signals
What's happening in the Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper pool
Only 1 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Only 1 pulls indexed — below the 5-pull floor for any pool read.
Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.
Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula
Chase tracker
Needs 30+ indexed pulls to define a chase tier for this pack — 1 so far.
Signal lifetime
SIGNAL Invalidated · 23 days agoRe-check before acting: the price moved after the newest pull we indexed.
The pack price changed after the most recent pull, so every EV-vs-price call here predates the current ticket.
- Newest pull
- 23 days
- observed
- Pull rate
- none
- observed
- Pulls, 7d
- 0
- observed
- Half-life
- Pro
Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology
03 / Contents
What has come out of Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper
Only 1 pull indexed. Below 25 the proportions below move a lot on a single pull — read them as examples of what has appeared, not as a profile of the pack.
By era
Cards seen range from 2021 to 2021.
- Current (2020+)100%$718 avg
Most common sets
Sets these pulls came from.
- Pokémon Sword & Shield Chilling Reign100%$718 avg
Cards seen most often
Named on every readable pull.
- Blaziken Vmax100%$718 avg
Built from the 1 indexed pull of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.
07 / Big hits
Biggest Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper pulls
08 / EV history
Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper EV over time
Calibrated EV currently sits at $718.30, below the $749 pack price, and has moved up 0.0% over the last 7 days.
Cash-out ratio over time: 552 points from Sep 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.81x and ending at 0.81x, essentially flat across the period.
09 / Quick answers
Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper — quick answers
- Is Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper worth buying right now?
- Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No new pulls in 23 days, past the 21-day ceiling.
- What is the EV of Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper?
- The calibrated EV is $718.30 against a pack price of $749.00, with a typical (median) pull of $718.30 across 1 indexed pulls.
- What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper?
- 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. These are observed odds reconstructed from real pulls, not the posted odds.
- What is the typical pull from Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper?
- The median pull is $718.30 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $718.30.
10 / Pull log
Latest Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper pulls
Compare Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper with other Pokémon packs
Same math, same methodology — cash-out ratios after each pack's own buyback, so the comparison is apples to apples.
- Pokémon VIP CosmicEV $9,793SET PACK PRICE
- Pokémon Mythic Pack0.844x cash-out · EV $4,756 · hit rate 25.0%HOUSE EDGE
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy)1.058x cash-out · EV $3,097 · hit rate 35.3%GREAT VALUE
- Pokémon Legend Pack0.656x cash-out · EV $1,939 · hit rate 16.7%HOUSE EDGE
- Wildcard Diamond PackEV $1,722SET PACK PRICE
- Pokémon VIP (Spicy)EV $1,135SET PACK PRICE
Understand these numbers
Every figure on this page — EV, EV ratio, hit rate, dilution — is defined once and computed the same way for every pack.