Is Most Wanted: Pokémon worth buying right now?

Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

What is the EV of Most Wanted: Pokémon?

The calibrated EV is $97.07 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $87.30 across 213 indexed pulls.

What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Most Wanted: Pokémon?

We cannot say yet. Most Wanted: Pokémon has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 213 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.

What is the typical pull from Most Wanted: Pokémon?

The median pull is $87.30 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $401.70.

Pokémon

Most Wanted: Pokémon

Most Wanted: Pokémon is a Courtyard Pokémon mystery pack with a calibrated expected value of $97.07 and a typical (median) pull of $87.30 across 213 indexed pulls. Its pack price is not yet confirmed, so the EV ratio, hit rate, and Rip Advisor verdict are pending.

Calibrated EV

$97

— ROI

LOW CONFIDENCE · 213 pulls · todaySIGNAL Fresh · 1.6 h ago

Calibrated EV: $97
Cash-out EV: $82
Pack price: Unknown
Typical pull: $87
Hit rate: —
Lifetime EV: $97
Pulls indexed: 213
Last pull: 1h ago

01 / Rip Advisor

Is Most Wanted: Pokémon worth it right now?

score 0/100NO DATA

050100

No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.

Log this decision:

Verdict is computed transparently from indexed pulls: cash-out ROI, median pull, 7-day trend, hit rate, and sample size. Redemption shipping (typically $16+) is not included — cards worth less than a few times the shipping cost are usually better instant-sold than shipped. Not financial advice.

02 / Pool signals

What's happening in the Most Wanted: Pokémon pool

Lifecycle stage, health, and chase removals — read from indexed pulls, never guessed.

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

NO DATA

No price set — pool economics can’t be computed.

Pro adds the Pool Health score and chase-removal impact.

Not observable: packs remaining, value remaining, and which chases are still in the pool — Courtyard publishes a pull feed, not inventory. We label those unavailable rather than estimate them. Everything above is computed from indexed pulls and EV snapshots; thin or stale data pulls the score toward neutral. Formula

Chase tracker

No pack price set, so a chase tier cannot be anchored.

Signal lifetime

SIGNAL Fresh · 1.6 h ago

Recomputed against pulls indexed in the last few hours.

Newest pull: 1.6 h; observed
Pull rate: too soon; observed
Pulls, 7d: 213; observed
Half-life: Pro

Aged, not predicted. Half-life counts how fast new evidence arrives, measured from real pull timestamps — it is not a forecast of where EV is heading. We publish no EV-drift half-life because our snapshot history is still too short for a regression to mean anything. The seeded placeholder points this note used to warn about have been flagged in the database and excluded from every chart, trend and score, so what you see plotted is observed data. Note the headline EV is decay-weighted, so it reacts to new pulls sooner than this whole-sample horizon implies. Methodology

03 / Contents

What has come out of Most Wanted: Pokémon

The eras, sets and cards this pack has actually produced. A record of past pulls — Courtyard publishes no inventory, so this is not a statement about what is left.

By era

Cards seen range from 1996 to 2026.

Current (2020+)69%$92 avg
Modern (2010-2019)15%$113 avg
Retro (2000-2009)8%$117 avg
Vintage (pre-2000)8%$93 avg

Most common sets

Sets these pulls came from.

Black Star Promos - Sword & Shield3%$76 avg
Fossil3%$101 avg
Pokémon Obf EN-Obsidian Flames2%$109 avg
Brilliant Stars2%$76 avg
Destined Rivals - DRI EN2%$92 avg
High Class Pack: Terastal Fest ex - sv8a2%$87 avg
Pokémon Meg EN-Mega Evolution2%$93 avg
Pokémon Mep EN-Me Black Star Promo2%$72 avg

Cards seen most often

Named on 98% of readable pulls. The rest do not print a card number, and without one the card cannot be told apart from the set name.

Charizard VSTAR2%$80 avg
Charizard EX2%$112 avg
Pikachu2%$80 avg
Bulbasaur1%$94 avg
Charizard1%$116 avg
Charmander1%$84 avg
Eevee1%$95 avg
Jolteon ex1%$86 avg

Built from the 213 indexed pulls of this pack so far — a record of what has come out, not a promise about what is left.

04 / Floor safety

Most Wanted: Pokémon floor safety & buyback reality

The two ways average EV lies to you — how top-heavy the pack is, and what FMV actually converts to in cash — then which exit pays most.

In Most Wanted: Pokémon, the top 2% of pulls account for 8% of all pulled value — low dilution. Value is spread fairly evenly across the pool, so the average is close to what a typical rip returns. The observed instant-offer ratio is 85% of FMV, which is the cash number every verdict on this page already uses.

Floor safety

low dilution

8% of everything this pack has paid out came from just the top 2% of pulls. Value is spread broadly across pulls, so the average sits closer to the typical rip here than it does on a top-heavy pack. It still sits above the median — check both.

Buyback reality

84.6% of FMV observed

Across 207 indexed pulls that carry a recorded bid, a $100 FMV pull cashes out around $85 if you instant-sell — in line with the platform's 84.6%. This is the figure every verdict on the site multiplies by.

Holding, listing, or physically redeeming can beat the instant offer — but redemption shipping (typically $16+) eats small wins.

Net exit value

207 paired pulls · 97% bid coverage · confidence 100%

Instant-selling the average (mean) pull here returns $82.12 — $14.95 below sticker FMV (15.4% haircut). That figure is the average of bids we actually recorded, not the platform rate applied blind.

Pro compares all three exits side by side, with the redemption breakeven and the value-by-value haircut curve for this pack.

Bids are recorded, resale is not. Instant-buyback figures are real offers captured at index time and can move. Redemption shipping starts near $16 in the US, is higher internationally, and is charged per shipment — batching pulls lowers it. We publish no resale estimate, liquidity score, or time-to-sell, because no such data is available to us. How buyback works

05 / Observed odds

Most Wanted: Pokémon odds — observed, not posted

Reconstructed from real pulls, so it shows what has actually been coming out — posted odds can't do that. It is a record of pulls, not a count of what is left.

Under $440.0%· stable
$44 – $8749.3%· stable
$87 – $175 · beats the pack48.8%· stable
$175 – $437 · big hit1.9%· stable
$437+ · chase0.0%· stable

Observed across 213 indexed pulls — what actually came out of this pack, independent of the posted odds. The 48h column shows tier drift: a falling green tier means fewer of the good cards have come out lately — which may mean they are running out, or may just be a quiet 48 hours.

07 / Big hits

Biggest Most Wanted: Pokémon pulls

2026 Pokémon Play! Pokémon Prize Pack: Series 8 #117 Hop's Snorlax - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$402PSA 10 GEM MINT

2002 Pokémon Expedition #4 Blastoise - Reverse Foil (PSA 6 EX-MT)

$398PSA 6 EX-MT

2019 Pokémon Sun & Moon Unbroken Bonds #130 Gardevoir & Sylveon GX - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$396PSA 10 GEM MINT

2025 Pokémon M2a-Mega Dream EX #234 Pikachu EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$214PSA 10 GEM MINT

2011 Black & White #15/114 Tepig - Pokémon League (Crosshatch Holo) (CGC 10 PRISTINE)

$156CGC 10 PRISTINE

2003 Pokémon EX Sandstorm #24 Umbreon (PSA 8 NM-MT)

$154PSA 8 NM-MT

2016 Evolutions #11/108 Charizard - Holo (CGC 9 MINT)

$154CGC 9 MINT

2025 Pokémon M1s-Mega Symphonia #087 Mega Gardevoir EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

$149PSA 10 GEM MINT

08 / EV history

Most Wanted: Pokémon EV over time

Snapshot per scraper run. The dashed line is break-even — EV above it is +EV.

Calibrated EV currently sits at $97.07, and has moved up 9.4% over the last 7 days.

$97.07EV

09 / Quick answers

Most Wanted: Pokémon — quick answers

Is Most Wanted: Pokémon worth buying right now?: Our current verdict is NO DATA (score 0/100). No pack price on record, so no net or ROI figure can be computed.
What is the EV of Most Wanted: Pokémon?: The calibrated EV is $97.07 against a pack price of not yet set, with a typical (median) pull of $87.30 across 213 indexed pulls.
What are the real odds of beating the pack price on Most Wanted: Pokémon?: We cannot say yet. Most Wanted: Pokémon has no pack price on record, and the odds of beating a price are undefined until there is one to beat. The 213 indexed pulls are still shown below as a record of what has come out.
What is the typical pull from Most Wanted: Pokémon?: The median pull is $87.30 — half of all indexed rips returned less than that. The single best recorded pull is $401.70.

10 / Pull log