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Wildcard Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.832x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.828x, across 717 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricWildcard Master PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$25
Calibrated EV$98.36$23.59
Cash-out ratio0.832x0.828x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.984x0.944x
Median pull$85.50$21.90
Hit rate21.7%23.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.35x0.36x
Pulls indexed83634

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Wildcard Master Pack: 602 points from Jul 12 to Sep 20, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-0.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 602 points from Jul 12 to Sep 20, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+16.6%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.03x.

Wildcard Master PackWildcard Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Wildcard Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Wildcard Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.832x vs 0.828x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Wildcard Master Pack: 21.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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