Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.892x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.722x, across 53 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Ultra Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $262.86 | $413.00 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.892x | 0.722x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.051x | 0.826x |
| Median pull | $219.50 | $415.40 |
| Hit rate | 39.0% | 16.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.14x |
| Pulls indexed | 41 | 12 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Ultra Pack: 609 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+34.5%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 446 points from Aug 8 to Sep 21, starting at 0.80x and ending at 0.72x, down overall (-9.5%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.80x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Ultra Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.892x vs 0.722x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Ultra Pack: 39.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 16.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.14x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies